**Forecast models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate an overnight low near 19–20°C for Incheon on September 9, driven by northeasterly winds advecting cooler air from higher latitudes and partly clear skies promoting radiative cooling after daytime highs around 25–27°C.** This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 20°C (66.5%) and 19°C (25.5%), reflecting trader consensus on official station data rather than broader Seoul variability. Recent developments include a 2–4°C drop in daytime temperatures from the prior day due to the influx of this air mass, consistent with typical early-September climatology where Incheon averages around 18°C for daily minima. Key resolution thresholds hinge on the precise minimum recorded at the Incheon station, with limited upside risk from lingering cloud cover or wind shifts that could prevent deeper cooling below 18°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 9. September?
20°C 64%
19°C 19%
18°C 8%
17°C <1%
$17,923 Vol.
$17,923 Vol.
13°C oder darunter
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
8%
19°C
27%
20°C
64%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C oder höher
<1%
20°C 64%
19°C 19%
18°C 8%
17°C <1%
$17,923 Vol.
$17,923 Vol.
13°C oder darunter
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
8%
19°C
27%
20°C
64%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate an overnight low near 19–20°C for Incheon on September 9, driven by northeasterly winds advecting cooler air from higher latitudes and partly clear skies promoting radiative cooling after daytime highs around 25–27°C.** This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 20°C (66.5%) and 19°C (25.5%), reflecting trader consensus on official station data rather than broader Seoul variability. Recent developments include a 2–4°C drop in daytime temperatures from the prior day due to the influx of this air mass, consistent with typical early-September climatology where Incheon averages around 18°C for daily minima. Key resolution thresholds hinge on the precise minimum recorded at the Incheon station, with limited upside risk from lingering cloud cover or wind shifts that could prevent deeper cooling below 18°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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