Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and aligned numerical models indicate a minimum temperature near 17°C for Incheon on September 10, 2026, driven by clear to partly cloudy conditions overnight, light northeasterly winds, and dew points around 9–11°C that limit further radiative cooling. Recent observations show afternoon readings near 21–22°C with stable high pressure, consistent with climatological September minima of 16–18°C for the region. Trader consensus at 98% for 17°C reflects this model agreement and absence of cold advection. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in northerly flow or denser cloud cover that alters the nocturnal boundary layer, though current guidance shows low probability of such shifts before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 10. September?
17°C 98%
16°C 2%
15°C <1%
11°C oder weniger <1%
$15,022 Vol.
$15,022 Vol.
11°C oder weniger
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
98%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C oder höher
<1%
17°C 98%
16°C 2%
15°C <1%
11°C oder weniger <1%
$15,022 Vol.
$15,022 Vol.
11°C oder weniger
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
98%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and aligned numerical models indicate a minimum temperature near 17°C for Incheon on September 10, 2026, driven by clear to partly cloudy conditions overnight, light northeasterly winds, and dew points around 9–11°C that limit further radiative cooling. Recent observations show afternoon readings near 21–22°C with stable high pressure, consistent with climatological September minima of 16–18°C for the region. Trader consensus at 98% for 17°C reflects this model agreement and absence of cold advection. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in northerly flow or denser cloud cover that alters the nocturnal boundary layer, though current guidance shows low probability of such shifts before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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