Recent forecasts from multiple agencies converge on Tokyo's September 15 overnight low falling in the 21–24 °C range, with the market's emphasis on 22–24 °C reflecting expected cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and a shift from southerly to northeasterly winds that limit radiative cooling. Model runs show modest disagreement on exact timing of heaviest rain, which could nudge the minimum by 1 °C either way, while climatological baselines for mid-September place typical lows near 19–20 °C under clearer conditions. Updated guidance through the evening of the 14th has reinforced trader consensus around these values ahead of final observational data from the Japan Meteorological Agency.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Tokio am 15. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Tokio am 15. September?
23°C 38%
24°C 28%
22°C 22%
20°C 12%
NEU
NEU
15. Sep. 2026
19°C oder niedriger
2%
20°C
12%
21°C
7%
22°C
22%
23°C
38%
24°C
28%
25°C
10%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C oder höher
1%
23°C 38%
24°C 28%
22°C 22%
20°C 12%
NEU
NEU
15. Sep. 2026
19°C oder niedriger
$10 Vol.
2%
20°C
$30 Vol.
12%
21°C
$31 Vol.
7%
22°C
$470 Vol.
22%
23°C
$140 Vol.
38%
24°C
$583 Vol.
28%
25°C
$31 Vol.
10%
26°C
$10 Vol.
2%
27°C
$10 Vol.
2%
28°C
$10 Vol.
1%
29°C oder höher
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple agencies converge on Tokyo's September 15 overnight low falling in the 21–24 °C range, with the market's emphasis on 22–24 °C reflecting expected cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and a shift from southerly to northeasterly winds that limit radiative cooling. Model runs show modest disagreement on exact timing of heaviest rain, which could nudge the minimum by 1 °C either way, while climatological baselines for mid-September place typical lows near 19–20 °C under clearer conditions. Updated guidance through the evening of the 14th has reinforced trader consensus around these values ahead of final observational data from the Japan Meteorological Agency.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Volumen
$1,336Enddatum
15. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple agencies converge on Tokyo's September 15 overnight low falling in the 21–24 °C range, with the market's emphasis on 22–24 °C reflecting expected cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and a shift from southerly to northeasterly winds that limit radiative cooling. Model runs show modest disagreement on exact timing of heaviest rain, which could nudge the minimum by 1 °C either way, while climatological baselines for mid-September place typical lows near 19–20 °C under clearer conditions. Updated guidance through the evening of the 14th has reinforced trader consensus around these values ahead of final observational data from the Japan Meteorological Agency.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,336Enddatum
15. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple agencies converge on Tokyo's September 15 overnight low falling in the 21–24 °C range, with the market's emphasis on 22–24 °C reflecting expected cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and a shift from southerly to northeasterly winds that limit radiative cooling. Model runs show modest disagreement on exact timing of heaviest rain, which could nudge the minimum by 1 °C either way, while climatological baselines for mid-September place typical lows near 19–20 °C under clearer conditions. Updated guidance through the evening of the 14th has reinforced trader consensus around these values ahead of final observational data from the Japan Meteorological Agency.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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