In Alaska's open gubernatorial race—triggered by term-limited Republican Gov. Mike Dunleavy—the nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18 remains fluid, with trader consensus pricing conservative activist Bernadette Wilson (30.5%) narrowly ahead of former Sen. Tom Begich (26%), followed by Attorney General Treg Taylor (14.4%) and Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom (12.3%). A March Alaska Survey Research poll of likely voters showed Begich leading at 19% amid 47% undecideds and a fragmented Republican field, but traders anticipate GOP base consolidation behind Wilson despite her trailing in that survey. The race stays tight due to vote-splitting among 12+ Republicans in the top-four system leading to ranked-choice general election, with recent Southeast campaigning by Begich and Mat-Su forums failing to create separation. Upcoming debates, endorsements, and fundraising disclosures could consolidate support and advance clearer top-four contenders.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoBernadette Wilson 31%
Tom Begich 26%
Treg Taylor 14.4%
Nancy Dahlstrom 12.3%
$823,251 Vol.
$823,251 Vol.
Bernadette Wilson
31%
Tom Begich
26%
Treg Taylor
14%
Nancy Dahlstrom
12%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
4%
David Bronson
3%
Click Bishop
2%
Matt Claman
1%
Adam Crum
1%
Lisa Murkowski
<1%
Mary Peltola
<1%
Edna DeVries
<1%
Shelley Hughes
<1%
Hank Kroll
<1%
Matt Heilala
<1%
James Parkin
<1%
Bruce Walden
<1%
Bernadette Wilson 31%
Tom Begich 26%
Treg Taylor 14.4%
Nancy Dahlstrom 12.3%
$823,251 Vol.
$823,251 Vol.
Bernadette Wilson
31%
Tom Begich
26%
Treg Taylor
14%
Nancy Dahlstrom
12%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
4%
David Bronson
3%
Click Bishop
2%
Matt Claman
1%
Adam Crum
1%
Lisa Murkowski
<1%
Mary Peltola
<1%
Edna DeVries
<1%
Shelley Hughes
<1%
Hank Kroll
<1%
Matt Heilala
<1%
James Parkin
<1%
Bruce Walden
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Alaska's open gubernatorial race—triggered by term-limited Republican Gov. Mike Dunleavy—the nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18 remains fluid, with trader consensus pricing conservative activist Bernadette Wilson (30.5%) narrowly ahead of former Sen. Tom Begich (26%), followed by Attorney General Treg Taylor (14.4%) and Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom (12.3%). A March Alaska Survey Research poll of likely voters showed Begich leading at 19% amid 47% undecideds and a fragmented Republican field, but traders anticipate GOP base consolidation behind Wilson despite her trailing in that survey. The race stays tight due to vote-splitting among 12+ Republicans in the top-four system leading to ranked-choice general election, with recent Southeast campaigning by Begich and Mat-Su forums failing to create separation. Upcoming debates, endorsements, and fundraising disclosures could consolidate support and advance clearer top-four contenders.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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