Trader consensus on Ankara's March 27 high temperature clusters around 16°C (33.5% implied probability) and 17°C (26.5%), driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts averaging 15-17°C amid a mild continental air mass. Differentiating factors include model spread: ECMWF's cooler bias from anticipated northerly winds and partial cloud cover versus GFS's warmer outlook under clearer skies, with historical late-March highs averaging 13°C but recent days trending 2-3°C above normal. A subtle frontal boundary adds uncertainty, potentially capping peaks at 15°C (19%) if overcast or pushing to 18°C (7.5%) with stronger insolation, per Turkish Meteorological Service updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Ankara el 27 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Ankara el 27 de marzo?
16°C 30%
17°C 27%
15°C 19%
14°C 9%
11°C o menos
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
9%
15°C
19%
16°C
30%
17°C
27%
18°C
8%
19°C
4%
20°C
7%
21°C o más
2%
16°C 30%
17°C 27%
15°C 19%
14°C 9%
11°C o menos
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
9%
15°C
19%
16°C
30%
17°C
27%
18°C
8%
19°C
4%
20°C
7%
21°C o más
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Ankara's March 27 high temperature clusters around 16°C (33.5% implied probability) and 17°C (26.5%), driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts averaging 15-17°C amid a mild continental air mass. Differentiating factors include model spread: ECMWF's cooler bias from anticipated northerly winds and partial cloud cover versus GFS's warmer outlook under clearer skies, with historical late-March highs averaging 13°C but recent days trending 2-3°C above normal. A subtle frontal boundary adds uncertainty, potentially capping peaks at 15°C (19%) if overcast or pushing to 18°C (7.5%) with stronger insolation, per Turkish Meteorological Service updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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