Trader consensus favors 13°C (31.5%) as Ankara's highest temperature on March 26, driven by converging global ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models projecting peaks around 13-14°C amid lingering cold air advection from the north. Recent developments, including yesterday's observed high of 11°C and a weak high-pressure ridge, support this over cooler 12°C odds (23.5%), while slight warming from increased solar insolation under partly cloudy skies differentiates 14°C (25.5%). Historical March climatology in Ankara averages 13°C highs with a 2-3°C diurnal range, but short-term model spread—ECMWF warmer by 1°C—keeps outcomes tightly matched; monitor Turkish MGM updates for resolution-defining hourly observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Ankara on March 26?
Highest temperature in Ankara on March 26?
13°C 31%
12°C 24%
14°C 24%
11°C 10%
$11,841 Vol.
$11,841 Vol.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
10%
12°C
24%
13°C
31%
14°C
24%
15°C
6%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 31%
12°C 24%
14°C 24%
11°C 10%
$11,841 Vol.
$11,841 Vol.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
10%
12°C
24%
13°C
31%
14°C
24%
15°C
6%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 13°C (31.5%) as Ankara's highest temperature on March 26, driven by converging global ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models projecting peaks around 13-14°C amid lingering cold air advection from the north. Recent developments, including yesterday's observed high of 11°C and a weak high-pressure ridge, support this over cooler 12°C odds (23.5%), while slight warming from increased solar insolation under partly cloudy skies differentiates 14°C (25.5%). Historical March climatology in Ankara averages 13°C highs with a 2-3°C diurnal range, but short-term model spread—ECMWF warmer by 1°C—keeps outcomes tightly matched; monitor Turkish MGM updates for resolution-defining hourly observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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