Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models converge on a daytime high near 16-17°C for Ankara on March 28, fueling trader consensus with 17°C leading at 23% implied probability, closely trailed by 15°C (20%) and 16°C (18%). This mild outlook stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge over central Anatolia, suppressing cloud cover and boosting solar insolation amid spring warming trends—historical March 28 highs average 13-15°C but have hit 18°C in recent warm years. Model spreads reflect uncertainty from variable upper-air dynamics, with warmer outliers pushing 18°C+ to 13% odds, while cooler runs below 15°C gain traction from potential northerly gusts; traders await DGMM updates for resolution clarity.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Ankara el 28 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Ankara el 28 de marzo?
17°C 22%
14°C 21%
15°C 20%
16°C 18%
8°C o menos
1%
9°C
7%
10°C
9%
11°C
8%
12°C
12%
13°C
17%
14°C
21%
15°C
20%
16°C
18%
17°C
22%
18°C o más
13%
17°C 22%
14°C 21%
15°C 20%
16°C 18%
8°C o menos
1%
9°C
7%
10°C
9%
11°C
8%
12°C
12%
13°C
17%
14°C
21%
15°C
20%
16°C
18%
17°C
22%
18°C o más
13%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models converge on a daytime high near 16-17°C for Ankara on March 28, fueling trader consensus with 17°C leading at 23% implied probability, closely trailed by 15°C (20%) and 16°C (18%). This mild outlook stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge over central Anatolia, suppressing cloud cover and boosting solar insolation amid spring warming trends—historical March 28 highs average 13-15°C but have hit 18°C in recent warm years. Model spreads reflect uncertainty from variable upper-air dynamics, with warmer outliers pushing 18°C+ to 13% odds, while cooler runs below 15°C gain traction from potential northerly gusts; traders await DGMM updates for resolution clarity.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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