Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a daytime high of 12°C in Ankara on March 25, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, which converge on 11-13°C amid persistent cool northerly airflow and light cloud cover over central Turkey. Recent model runs updated yesterday show median projections near 12°C, edging out 11°C (factoring potential overcast skies suppressing insolation) and 13°C (requiring clearer conditions for better solar heating). Historical March data from Turkish State Meteorological Service averages 13°C highs, but this week's cooler continental air mass—evident in Ankara's 8-10°C readings so far—narrows the range, with low odds for extremes due to stable barometric pressure and minimal frontal activity.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Ankara on March 25?
Highest temperature in Ankara on March 25?
12°C 27%
11°C 25%
13°C 20%
10°C 19%
6°C or below
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
8%
9°C
10%
10°C
19%
11°C
25%
12°C
27%
13°C
20%
14°C
16%
15°C
12%
16°C or higher
2%
12°C 27%
11°C 25%
13°C 20%
10°C 19%
6°C or below
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
8%
9°C
10%
10°C
19%
11°C
25%
12°C
27%
13°C
20%
14°C
16%
15°C
12%
16°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a daytime high of 12°C in Ankara on March 25, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, which converge on 11-13°C amid persistent cool northerly airflow and light cloud cover over central Turkey. Recent model runs updated yesterday show median projections near 12°C, edging out 11°C (factoring potential overcast skies suppressing insolation) and 13°C (requiring clearer conditions for better solar heating). Historical March data from Turkish State Meteorological Service averages 13°C highs, but this week's cooler continental air mass—evident in Ankara's 8-10°C readings so far—narrows the range, with low odds for extremes due to stable barometric pressure and minimal frontal activity.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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