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Highest temperature in Ankara on March 29?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Ankara on March 29?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

10°C 36%

9°C 23%

11°C 20%

8°C 14%

Polymarket

$67,464 Vol.

10°C 36%

9°C 23%

11°C 20%

8°C 14%

Polymarket

$67,464 Vol.

4°C or below

$24,465 Vol.

<1%

5°C

$39,332 Vol.

<1%

6°C

$242 Vol.

2%

7°C

$175 Vol.

4%

8°C

$373 Vol.

14%

9°C

$374 Vol.

23%

10°C

$404 Vol.

36%

11°C

$611 Vol.

20%

12°C

$506 Vol.

6%

13°C

$331 Vol.

3%

14°C or higher

$650 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 36% probability for a 10°C high in Ankara on March 29, reflecting the latest forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which project temperatures in the 9–11°C range amid a lingering cold air mass over Central Anatolia. Recent developments include a high-pressure ridge stabilizing after last week's snowfall, with minimal cloud cover and light winds limiting daytime warming—conditions 2–3°C below the late-March climatological average of 13°C. Model ensembles show low spread, but subtle shifts in the upper-air pattern could adjust highs by 1–2°C; daily MGM updates expected through resolution will refine this outlook.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$67,464
Fecha de finalización
Mar 29, 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 36% probability for a 10°C high in Ankara on March 29, reflecting the latest forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which project temperatures in the 9–11°C range amid a lingering cold air mass over Central Anatolia. Recent developments include a high-pressure ridge stabilizing after last week's snowfall, with minimal cloud cover and light winds limiting daytime warming—conditions 2–3°C below the late-March climatological average of 13°C. Model ensembles show low spread, but subtle shifts in the upper-air pattern could adjust highs by 1–2°C; daily MGM updates expected through resolution will refine this outlook.

Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 36% probability for a 10°C high in Ankara on March 29, reflecting the latest forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which project temperatures in the 9–11°C range amid a lingering cold air mass over Central Anatolia. Recent developments include a high-pressure ridge stabilizing after last week's snowfall, with minimal cloud cover and light winds limiting daytime warming—conditions 2–3°C below the late-March climatological average of 13°C. Model ensembles show low spread, but subtle shifts in the upper-air pattern could adjust highs by 1–2°C; daily MGM updates expected through resolution will refine this outlook.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Highest temperature in Ankara on March 29?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "10°C" con 36%, seguido de "9°C" con 23%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 36¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 36% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Highest temperature in Ankara on March 29?" ha generado $67.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 25, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Highest temperature in Ankara on March 29?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Highest temperature in Ankara on March 29?" es "10°C" con 36%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 36% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "9°C" con 23%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Highest temperature in Ankara on March 29?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.