Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) converge on a high temperature near 22°C for Wuhan on March 29, mirroring trader consensus with 22°C at 22.5% implied probability amid tight competition from 21–24°C outcomes. This reflects late March climatology in central China, where historical highs average 18–22°C, bolstered by recent southerly flows displacing cooler air masses and reducing cloud cover for enhanced diurnal heating. Current observations show daytime peaks in the low 20s over the past week, but uncertainties persist in model spread over boundary layer mixing and potential afternoon showers. Daily updates from the China Meteorological Administration will clarify intensification potential as the date nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Wuhan on March 29?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 29?
22°C 23%
23°C 21%
21°C 19%
24°C 18%
18°C or below
2%
19°C
11%
20°C
12%
21°C
19%
22°C
23%
23°C
21%
24°C
18%
25°C
10%
26°C
8%
27°C
6%
28°C or higher
2%
22°C 23%
23°C 21%
21°C 19%
24°C 18%
18°C or below
2%
19°C
11%
20°C
12%
21°C
19%
22°C
23%
23°C
21%
24°C
18%
25°C
10%
26°C
8%
27°C
6%
28°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) converge on a high temperature near 22°C for Wuhan on March 29, mirroring trader consensus with 22°C at 22.5% implied probability amid tight competition from 21–24°C outcomes. This reflects late March climatology in central China, where historical highs average 18–22°C, bolstered by recent southerly flows displacing cooler air masses and reducing cloud cover for enhanced diurnal heating. Current observations show daytime peaks in the low 20s over the past week, but uncertainties persist in model spread over boundary layer mixing and potential afternoon showers. Daily updates from the China Meteorological Administration will clarify intensification potential as the date nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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