Trader consensus favors 21°C (31.5%) and 22°C (27.5%) for Chongqing's highest temperature on March 26, driven by ensemble weather models like ECMWF and GFS projecting peaks of 20.5–22°C under mild southerly winds and above-average solar insolation. Historical March highs in Chongqing average 18–20°C, but a persistent warm anomaly—linked to weakened East Asian winter monsoon—has elevated recent readings, differentiating these from cooler 20°C (19.5%) odds tied to potential afternoon cloud cover from Yangtze moisture. Lower probabilities for extremes reflect low model spread, with official China Meteorological Administration updates expected soon influencing final resolution based on downtown station observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chongqing on March 26?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 26?
21°C 31%
22°C 27%
20°C 20%
23°C 13%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
7%
20°C
20%
21°C
31%
22°C
27%
23°C
13%
24°C
4%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
21°C 31%
22°C 27%
20°C 20%
23°C 13%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
7%
20°C
20%
21°C
31%
22°C
27%
23°C
13%
24°C
4%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 22, 2026, 6:21 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 21°C (31.5%) and 22°C (27.5%) for Chongqing's highest temperature on March 26, driven by ensemble weather models like ECMWF and GFS projecting peaks of 20.5–22°C under mild southerly winds and above-average solar insolation. Historical March highs in Chongqing average 18–20°C, but a persistent warm anomaly—linked to weakened East Asian winter monsoon—has elevated recent readings, differentiating these from cooler 20°C (19.5%) odds tied to potential afternoon cloud cover from Yangtze moisture. Lower probabilities for extremes reflect low model spread, with official China Meteorological Administration updates expected soon influencing final resolution based on downtown station observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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