Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects uncertainty in Los Angeles' March 29 high temperature, with implied odds favoring 84°F or higher at 29.5% amid a building high-pressure ridge over the Southwest, but closely trailed by 76-77°F (22.5%) and 74-75°F (21.5%) due to model spread. The National Weather Service forecast calls for sunny skies and highs near 80°F, supported by offshore flow enhancing downslope warming, yet divergent GFS and ECMWF ensemble members range from mid-70s (marine layer persistence) to mid-80s (clear skies and peak ridge amplitude). March climatology averages 68-72°F, but neutral ENSO conditions allow variability; new model runs expected tonight could sharpen probabilities ahead of the daily maximum at LAX or downtown stations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Los Angeles on March 29?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 29?
84°F or higher 29.0%
74-75°F 21%
76-77°F 21%
72-73°F 13%
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
8%
72-73°F
13%
74-75°F
21%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
5%
84°F or higher
29%
84°F or higher 29.0%
74-75°F 21%
76-77°F 21%
72-73°F 13%
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
8%
72-73°F
13%
74-75°F
21%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
5%
84°F or higher
29%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects uncertainty in Los Angeles' March 29 high temperature, with implied odds favoring 84°F or higher at 29.5% amid a building high-pressure ridge over the Southwest, but closely trailed by 76-77°F (22.5%) and 74-75°F (21.5%) due to model spread. The National Weather Service forecast calls for sunny skies and highs near 80°F, supported by offshore flow enhancing downslope warming, yet divergent GFS and ECMWF ensemble members range from mid-70s (marine layer persistence) to mid-80s (clear skies and peak ridge amplitude). March climatology averages 68-72°F, but neutral ENSO conditions allow variability; new model runs expected tonight could sharpen probabilities ahead of the daily maximum at LAX or downtown stations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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