Trader sentiment for Seattle's highest temperature on March 25 clusters tightly around 48-53°F, with 50-51°F leading at 29%, driven by ensemble weather model forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF averaging near 50°F amid persistent marine layer influence from the Pacific. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in boundary layer stability and Puget Sound convergence zone activity, where thicker stratus clouds could cap highs at 48-49°F, while brief ridging aloft might boost to 52-53°F via enhanced downslope warming. Recent 12z model runs show slight cooling bias from upstream troughing, aligning with climatological March norms of 52-55°F but tempered by recent rainy patterns; traders eye afternoon NWS updates for resolution criteria based on Sea-Tac observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Seattle on March 25?
Highest temperature in Seattle on March 25?
50-51°F 29%
48-49°F 27%
52-53°F 26%
46-47°F 15%
39°F or below
2%
40-41°F
1%
42-43°F
1%
44-45°F
8%
46-47°F
15%
48-49°F
27%
50-51°F
29%
52-53°F
26%
54-55°F
15%
56-57°F
9%
58°F or higher
8%
50-51°F 29%
48-49°F 27%
52-53°F 26%
46-47°F 15%
39°F or below
2%
40-41°F
1%
42-43°F
1%
44-45°F
8%
46-47°F
15%
48-49°F
27%
50-51°F
29%
52-53°F
26%
54-55°F
15%
56-57°F
9%
58°F or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Seattle's highest temperature on March 25 clusters tightly around 48-53°F, with 50-51°F leading at 29%, driven by ensemble weather model forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF averaging near 50°F amid persistent marine layer influence from the Pacific. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in boundary layer stability and Puget Sound convergence zone activity, where thicker stratus clouds could cap highs at 48-49°F, while brief ridging aloft might boost to 52-53°F via enhanced downslope warming. Recent 12z model runs show slight cooling bias from upstream troughing, aligning with climatological March norms of 52-55°F but tempered by recent rainy patterns; traders eye afternoon NWS updates for resolution criteria based on Sea-Tac observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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