Trader sentiment clusters around 52-53°F (35.5% implied probability) as the top outcome for Seattle's highest temperature on March 22, driven primarily by the latest National Weather Service forecasts from NOAA's Seattle office, which project a daytime high of 52°F amid partly cloudy skies and light onshore flow. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF have converged on this range after recent 12z updates, reflecting a persistent upper-level trough over the Pacific Northwest that caps temperatures through marine layer influence and cool mid-level air. Historical March 22 highs average 53°F at Sea-Tac Airport, aligning with these projections, while yesterday's 51°F observed high and minimal diurnal warming potential further bolster odds against warmer outliers above 55°F.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Seattle el 22 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Seattle el 22 de marzo?
52-53°F 37%
50-51°F 23%
54-55°F 19%
48-49°F 12%
45°F o menos
2%
46-47°F
2%
48-49°F
12%
50-51°F
23%
52-53°F
37%
54-55°F
19%
56-57°F
8%
58-59°F
2%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64°F o más
1%
52-53°F 37%
50-51°F 23%
54-55°F 19%
48-49°F 12%
45°F o menos
2%
46-47°F
2%
48-49°F
12%
50-51°F
23%
52-53°F
37%
54-55°F
19%
56-57°F
8%
58-59°F
2%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64°F o más
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters around 52-53°F (35.5% implied probability) as the top outcome for Seattle's highest temperature on March 22, driven primarily by the latest National Weather Service forecasts from NOAA's Seattle office, which project a daytime high of 52°F amid partly cloudy skies and light onshore flow. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF have converged on this range after recent 12z updates, reflecting a persistent upper-level trough over the Pacific Northwest that caps temperatures through marine layer influence and cool mid-level air. Historical March 22 highs average 53°F at Sea-Tac Airport, aligning with these projections, while yesterday's 51°F observed high and minimal diurnal warming potential further bolster odds against warmer outliers above 55°F.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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