Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward highs of 82-85°F in Austin on March 24, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast pinpointing 83°F amid a strengthening upper-level ridge fostering subsidence warming and clear skies. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show a tight spread, with means around 83-84°F, but differentiate 82-83°F (19%) from 84-85°F (20%) via uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon cloud development—more sun could nudge peaks higher. Above-normal temps reflect low soil moisture from recent dry spells, exceeding March averages of 75°F, though gusty south winds add volatility; watch 12z model updates for shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Austin on March 24?
Highest temperature in Austin on March 24?
84-85°F 20%
82-83°F 19%
86-87°F 14%
88-89°F 14%
79°F or below
9%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
20%
86-87°F
14%
88-89°F
14%
90-91°F
14%
92-93°F
12%
94-95°F
11%
96-97°F
10%
98°F or higher
9%
84-85°F 20%
82-83°F 19%
86-87°F 14%
88-89°F 14%
79°F or below
9%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
20%
86-87°F
14%
88-89°F
14%
90-91°F
14%
92-93°F
12%
94-95°F
11%
96-97°F
10%
98°F or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 20, 2026, 6:25 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward highs of 82-85°F in Austin on March 24, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast pinpointing 83°F amid a strengthening upper-level ridge fostering subsidence warming and clear skies. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show a tight spread, with means around 83-84°F, but differentiate 82-83°F (19%) from 84-85°F (20%) via uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon cloud development—more sun could nudge peaks higher. Above-normal temps reflect low soil moisture from recent dry spells, exceeding March averages of 75°F, though gusty south winds add volatility; watch 12z model updates for shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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