Trader consensus heavily favors a Taipei high of 28°C (45% implied probability) based on the Central Weather Administration's latest forecast, which projects a peak of 28°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge bringing warm southerly winds and minimal cloud cover on March 24. Recent observations show March 23 highs around 26-27°C, aligning with above-average warmth this subtropical spring—historical March means hover at 23°C but have spiked to 29°C amid similar patterns. Ensemble models like ECMWF converge on 27-29°C, though sea breezes or afternoon showers could cap it at 26-27°C (17-16.5% odds), tempering extremes while positioning 28°C as the leading outcome amid low volatility in short-range projections.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Taipei on March 24?
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 24?
28°C 49%
26°C 17%
27°C 17%
25°C 16%
21°C or below
11%
22°C
12%
23°C
14%
24°C
9%
25°C
16%
26°C
17%
27°C
17%
28°C
45%
29°C
14%
30°C
12%
31°C or higher
11%
28°C 49%
26°C 17%
27°C 17%
25°C 16%
21°C or below
11%
22°C
12%
23°C
14%
24°C
9%
25°C
16%
26°C
17%
27°C
17%
28°C
45%
29°C
14%
30°C
12%
31°C or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 20, 2026, 6:26 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors a Taipei high of 28°C (45% implied probability) based on the Central Weather Administration's latest forecast, which projects a peak of 28°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge bringing warm southerly winds and minimal cloud cover on March 24. Recent observations show March 23 highs around 26-27°C, aligning with above-average warmth this subtropical spring—historical March means hover at 23°C but have spiked to 29°C amid similar patterns. Ensemble models like ECMWF converge on 27-29°C, though sea breezes or afternoon showers could cap it at 26-27°C (17-16.5% odds), tempering extremes while positioning 28°C as the leading outcome amid low volatility in short-range projections.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes