Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 23°C (28%) to 25°C (19%) for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on March 23, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converging on 23-24°C amid a mild autumn pattern influenced by a weakening high-pressure ridge over the South Atlantic. Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) official outlook points to a daytime max near 24°C with partial cloudiness tempering peaks, while historical March averages hover at 25°C but recent cooler anomalies from southerly winds add downside risk. Differentiating factors include model divergence on sea-breeze timing—earlier onshore flow favors 22-23°C, delayed onshore favors 25°C—highlighting peak-hour uncertainty as traders await SMN's 12Z update.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Buenos Aires el 23 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Buenos Aires el 23 de marzo?
23°C 29%
24°C 23%
26°C 16%
21°C 15%
19°C o menos
8%
20°C
4%
21°C
16%
22°C
14%
23°C
29%
24°C
23%
25°C
20%
26°C
16%
27°C
6%
28°C
5%
29°C o más
7%
23°C 29%
24°C 23%
26°C 16%
21°C 15%
19°C o menos
8%
20°C
4%
21°C
16%
22°C
14%
23°C
29%
24°C
23%
25°C
20%
26°C
16%
27°C
6%
28°C
5%
29°C o más
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 19, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 23°C (28%) to 25°C (19%) for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on March 23, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converging on 23-24°C amid a mild autumn pattern influenced by a weakening high-pressure ridge over the South Atlantic. Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) official outlook points to a daytime max near 24°C with partial cloudiness tempering peaks, while historical March averages hover at 25°C but recent cooler anomalies from southerly winds add downside risk. Differentiating factors include model divergence on sea-breeze timing—earlier onshore flow favors 22-23°C, delayed onshore favors 25°C—highlighting peak-hour uncertainty as traders await SMN's 12Z update.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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