Trader sentiment for Lucknow's highest temperature on March 26 hinges on India Meteorological Department forecasts projecting a peak of 35-36°C under clear skies and strengthening solar insolation, with ensemble models like GFS slightly warmer at 36.1°C and ECMWF cooler at 35.2°C, explaining the razor-thin 35% and 34% odds. Historical March 26 maxima average 34°C, but 2024's early-season heatwave—fueled by low soil moisture and northerly winds—has elevated baselines, reducing 34°C-or-below odds to 26%. Any unexpected afternoon cloud cover could suppress readings below 35°C, while sustained sunshine favors 36°C, underscoring model divergence as the key differentiator.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Lucknow on March 26?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 26?
35°C 35%
36°C 35%
34°C or below 23%
38°C 4.2%
$57,631 Vol.
$57,631 Vol.
34°C or below
23%
35°C
35%
36°C
35%
37°C
4%
38°C
4%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
35°C 35%
36°C 35%
34°C or below 23%
38°C 4.2%
$57,631 Vol.
$57,631 Vol.
34°C or below
23%
35°C
35%
36°C
35%
37°C
4%
38°C
4%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Lucknow's highest temperature on March 26 hinges on India Meteorological Department forecasts projecting a peak of 35-36°C under clear skies and strengthening solar insolation, with ensemble models like GFS slightly warmer at 36.1°C and ECMWF cooler at 35.2°C, explaining the razor-thin 35% and 34% odds. Historical March 26 maxima average 34°C, but 2024's early-season heatwave—fueled by low soil moisture and northerly winds—has elevated baselines, reducing 34°C-or-below odds to 26%. Any unexpected afternoon cloud cover could suppress readings below 35°C, while sustained sunshine favors 36°C, underscoring model divergence as the key differentiator.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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