Latest India Meteorological Department forecasts peg Lucknow's March 28 high near 34°C, driving trader consensus with 27.5% implied odds for that outcome, closely trailed by 33°C at 26.5% and 35°C at 20.5%, amid clear skies and light northerly winds fostering daytime heating. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS show tight spreads, differentiated by subtle cloud cover variations—scattered cumulus could shave 1°C off peaks, while prolonged insolation risks nudging toward 35°C—against historical late-March averages of 33.5°C and minimal precipitation likelihood below 5%. Morning observations on March 27 will sharpen resolution criteria, as diurnal ranges exceed 15°C under current anticyclonic conditions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Lucknow on March 28?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 28?
34°C 28%
33°C 27%
32°C or below 21%
35°C 20%
32°C or below
15%
33°C
27%
34°C
28%
35°C
21%
36°C
11%
37°C
8%
38°C
7%
39°C
3%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
1%
34°C 28%
33°C 27%
32°C or below 21%
35°C 20%
32°C or below
15%
33°C
27%
34°C
28%
35°C
21%
36°C
11%
37°C
8%
38°C
7%
39°C
3%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest India Meteorological Department forecasts peg Lucknow's March 28 high near 34°C, driving trader consensus with 27.5% implied odds for that outcome, closely trailed by 33°C at 26.5% and 35°C at 20.5%, amid clear skies and light northerly winds fostering daytime heating. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS show tight spreads, differentiated by subtle cloud cover variations—scattered cumulus could shave 1°C off peaks, while prolonged insolation risks nudging toward 35°C—against historical late-March averages of 33.5°C and minimal precipitation likelihood below 5%. Morning observations on March 27 will sharpen resolution criteria, as diurnal ranges exceed 15°C under current anticyclonic conditions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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