Trader consensus on Munich's March 23 high temperature clusters tightly around 12°C and 13°C, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts showing peaks of 11-14°C amid a building high-pressure ridge ushering mild Atlantic air masses northward. This setup promises above-average solar insolation for late March—historical averages hover near 10-11°C—but lingering cloud cover from a weakening front introduces uncertainty, with model spreads differentiating lower 11°C outcomes (more overcast) from upper 14°C possibilities (clearer skies). Recent DWD updates nudged probabilities upward from cooler baselines, reflecting positive temperature anomalies, though urban heat island effects in Munich could nudge the verified airport reading higher. Key watch: tomorrow's 12Z model runs for resolution-defining clarity.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 23 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 23 de marzo?
12°C 28%
13°C 23%
11°C 19%
14°C 18%
6°C o menos
1%
7°C
2%
8°C
3%
9°C
8%
10°C
10%
11°C
19%
12°C
28%
13°C
23%
14°C
18%
15°C
12%
16°C o más
15%
12°C 28%
13°C 23%
11°C 19%
14°C 18%
6°C o menos
1%
7°C
2%
8°C
3%
9°C
8%
10°C
10%
11°C
19%
12°C
28%
13°C
23%
14°C
18%
15°C
12%
16°C o más
15%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 19, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Munich's March 23 high temperature clusters tightly around 12°C and 13°C, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts showing peaks of 11-14°C amid a building high-pressure ridge ushering mild Atlantic air masses northward. This setup promises above-average solar insolation for late March—historical averages hover near 10-11°C—but lingering cloud cover from a weakening front introduces uncertainty, with model spreads differentiating lower 11°C outcomes (more overcast) from upper 14°C possibilities (clearer skies). Recent DWD updates nudged probabilities upward from cooler baselines, reflecting positive temperature anomalies, though urban heat island effects in Munich could nudge the verified airport reading higher. Key watch: tomorrow's 12Z model runs for resolution-defining clarity.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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