Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 54-57°F for Seattle's March 27 high, driven by the latest NOAA and ECMWF model runs forecasting partly cloudy skies with highs near 56°F amid a cool Pacific Northwest air mass. This edges out slightly cooler 52-53°F odds, as boundary-layer mixing and diurnal heating are expected to push afternoon peaks modestly above seasonal norms of 54°F, per historical Sea-Tac Airport data. Differentiating factors include subtle model divergences on low-level cloud persistence—persistent marine stratus favors 54-55°F, while earlier clearing boosts 56-57°F—compounded by a 1-2°F intraday forecast uncertainty typical for spring in the Puget Sound region. Upcoming hourly updates from NWS Seattle could refine these tight market-implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Seattle el 27 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Seattle el 27 de marzo?
56-57°F 29%
54-55 °F 28%
52-53°F 22%
58-59 °F 14%
45°F o menos
1%
46-47°F
2%
48-49°F
3%
50-51°F
5%
52-53°F
22%
54-55 °F
28%
56-57°F
29%
58-59 °F
14%
60-61°F
5%
62-63°F
4%
64°F o más
2%
56-57°F 29%
54-55 °F 28%
52-53°F 22%
58-59 °F 14%
45°F o menos
1%
46-47°F
2%
48-49°F
3%
50-51°F
5%
52-53°F
22%
54-55 °F
28%
56-57°F
29%
58-59 °F
14%
60-61°F
5%
62-63°F
4%
64°F o más
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 54-57°F for Seattle's March 27 high, driven by the latest NOAA and ECMWF model runs forecasting partly cloudy skies with highs near 56°F amid a cool Pacific Northwest air mass. This edges out slightly cooler 52-53°F odds, as boundary-layer mixing and diurnal heating are expected to push afternoon peaks modestly above seasonal norms of 54°F, per historical Sea-Tac Airport data. Differentiating factors include subtle model divergences on low-level cloud persistence—persistent marine stratus favors 54-55°F, while earlier clearing boosts 56-57°F—compounded by a 1-2°F intraday forecast uncertainty typical for spring in the Puget Sound region. Upcoming hourly updates from NWS Seattle could refine these tight market-implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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