Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Seattle high of 52-53°F (42.5% implied probability) for March 26, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a daytime peak near 52°F under partly cloudy skies with light winds. This aligns with ensemble model outputs from GFS and ECMWF, which converge on low-50s temperatures amid a cool marine layer from Puget Sound suppressing highs typical for late March (historical average ~54°F). Recent overnight runs refined earlier 54°F projections downward due to persistent low-level stratus clouds, while minimal upside risk from diurnal heating keeps warmer bins like 54-55°F (11.5%) secondary; traders eye afternoon observations for final resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Seattle el 26 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Seattle el 26 de marzo?
52-53°F 42%
50-51°F 24%
54-55°F 16%
48-49°F 6%
43°F o menos
1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
2%
48-49°F
6%
50-51°F
24%
52-53°F
46%
54-55°F
16%
56-57°F
5%
58-59°F
2%
60-61°F
1%
62°F o más
<1%
52-53°F 42%
50-51°F 24%
54-55°F 16%
48-49°F 6%
43°F o menos
1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
2%
48-49°F
6%
50-51°F
24%
52-53°F
46%
54-55°F
16%
56-57°F
5%
58-59°F
2%
60-61°F
1%
62°F o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 22, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Seattle high of 52-53°F (42.5% implied probability) for March 26, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a daytime peak near 52°F under partly cloudy skies with light winds. This aligns with ensemble model outputs from GFS and ECMWF, which converge on low-50s temperatures amid a cool marine layer from Puget Sound suppressing highs typical for late March (historical average ~54°F). Recent overnight runs refined earlier 54°F projections downward due to persistent low-level stratus clouds, while minimal upside risk from diurnal heating keeps warmer bins like 54-55°F (11.5%) secondary; traders eye afternoon observations for final resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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