Trader consensus favors 33°C at 36% implied probability for Singapore's March 25 high temperature, edging out 34°C (31%) and 32°C (27.5%), driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts converging on 33-34°C amid low rainfall odds during the inter-monsoon transition. Recent NEA observations show March 23-24 maxes at 33.2°C and 32.8°C, aligning with climatological norms of 32.5-33.5°C for late March, but urban heat island effects and weak sea breezes introduce variability. Differentiation hinges on afternoon convection: persistent clear skies could yield 34°C via enhanced solar heating, while isolated thundershowers might suppress peaks to 32°C, per model spread. Monitor NEA's evening update for resolution cues.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Singapur el 25 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Singapur el 25 de marzo?
33°C 36%
34°C 31%
32°C 28%
27°C 18%
26°C o menos
<1%
27°C
18%
28°C
1%
29°C
15%
30°C
13%
31°C
16%
32°C
28%
33°C
36%
34°C
31%
35°C
15%
36°C o más
6%
33°C 36%
34°C 31%
32°C 28%
27°C 18%
26°C o menos
<1%
27°C
18%
28°C
1%
29°C
15%
30°C
13%
31°C
16%
32°C
28%
33°C
36%
34°C
31%
35°C
15%
36°C o más
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 21, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 33°C at 36% implied probability for Singapore's March 25 high temperature, edging out 34°C (31%) and 32°C (27.5%), driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts converging on 33-34°C amid low rainfall odds during the inter-monsoon transition. Recent NEA observations show March 23-24 maxes at 33.2°C and 32.8°C, aligning with climatological norms of 32.5-33.5°C for late March, but urban heat island effects and weak sea breezes introduce variability. Differentiation hinges on afternoon convection: persistent clear skies could yield 34°C via enhanced solar heating, while isolated thundershowers might suppress peaks to 32°C, per model spread. Monitor NEA's evening update for resolution cues.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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