Recent inflation data showing a 0.4% August CPI rise alongside 4.1% unemployment have kept the FOMC divided ahead of the October 27-28 meeting, with trader-implied probabilities clustered tightly between one and three dissents. Persistent price pressures above the 2% target, combined with the September 15-16 decision and subsequent minutes, are shaping expectations for how many members will break from the majority on rates. Proximity to November midterms adds caution for some officials, while recent July precedent of three hawkish dissents highlights potential for renewed splits if incoming payrolls or PCE prints reinforce tightening arguments. Aggregated market bets reflect this uncertainty, with no dominant view on the exact dissent tally.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Cuántos disidentes en la reunión de la Fed de octubre?
¿Cuántos disidentes en la reunión de la Fed de octubre?
3 25%
2 22%
1 21%
4+ 19%
NUEVO
NUEVO
28 oct 2026
0
15%
1
21%
2
22%
3
25%
4+
19%
3 25%
2 22%
1 21%
4+ 19%
NUEVO
NUEVO
28 oct 2026
0
$320 Vol.
15%
1
$345 Vol.
21%
2
$320 Vol.
22%
3
$341 Vol.
25%
4+
$690 Vol.
19%
The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent inflation data showing a 0.4% August CPI rise alongside 4.1% unemployment have kept the FOMC divided ahead of the October 27-28 meeting, with trader-implied probabilities clustered tightly between one and three dissents. Persistent price pressures above the 2% target, combined with the September 15-16 decision and subsequent minutes, are shaping expectations for how many members will break from the majority on rates. Proximity to November midterms adds caution for some officials, while recent July precedent of three hawkish dissents highlights potential for renewed splits if incoming payrolls or PCE prints reinforce tightening arguments. Aggregated market bets reflect this uncertainty, with no dominant view on the exact dissent tally.
The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Sep 8, 2026, 4:31 PM ET
Volumen
$2,015Fecha de finalización
28 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 4:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent inflation data showing a 0.4% August CPI rise alongside 4.1% unemployment have kept the FOMC divided ahead of the October 27-28 meeting, with trader-implied probabilities clustered tightly between one and three dissents. Persistent price pressures above the 2% target, combined with the September 15-16 decision and subsequent minutes, are shaping expectations for how many members will break from the majority on rates. Proximity to November midterms adds caution for some officials, while recent July precedent of three hawkish dissents highlights potential for renewed splits if incoming payrolls or PCE prints reinforce tightening arguments. Aggregated market bets reflect this uncertainty, with no dominant view on the exact dissent tally.
The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$2,015Fecha de finalización
28 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 4:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent inflation data showing a 0.4% August CPI rise alongside 4.1% unemployment have kept the FOMC divided ahead of the October 27-28 meeting, with trader-implied probabilities clustered tightly between one and three dissents. Persistent price pressures above the 2% target, combined with the September 15-16 decision and subsequent minutes, are shaping expectations for how many members will break from the majority on rates. Proximity to November midterms adds caution for some officials, while recent July precedent of three hawkish dissents highlights potential for renewed splits if incoming payrolls or PCE prints reinforce tightening arguments. Aggregated market bets reflect this uncertainty, with no dominant view on the exact dissent tally.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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