Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles, alongside KNMI guidance, drives the tight 13–14°C clustering in trader-implied odds by projecting overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with northwesterly flow advecting milder maritime air. Dew points near 11–12°C and light winds should limit the drop, while any increase in cloud cover or wind could hold the minimum closer to 14°C; historical August norms for Amsterdam lows hover near 14°C. With resolution based on official station data for the calendar day ending August 22, fresh model runs overnight represent the key upcoming update that could shift positioning between these two leading outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Ámsterdam el 22 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Ámsterdam el 22 de agosto?
13°C 42%
14°C 40%
15°C 13%
11°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
22 ago 2026
8°C or below
2%
9°C
9%
10°C
8%
11°C
10%
12°C
9%
13°C
42%
14°C
40%
15°C
13%
16°C
7%
17°C
5%
18°C o más
2%
13°C 42%
14°C 40%
15°C 13%
11°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
22 ago 2026
8°C or below
$25 Vol.
2%
9°C
$0 Vol.
9%
10°C
$0 Vol.
8%
11°C
$0 Vol.
10%
12°C
$0 Vol.
9%
13°C
$0 Vol.
42%
14°C
$0 Vol.
40%
15°C
$0 Vol.
13%
16°C
$0 Vol.
7%
17°C
$0 Vol.
5%
18°C o más
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles, alongside KNMI guidance, drives the tight 13–14°C clustering in trader-implied odds by projecting overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with northwesterly flow advecting milder maritime air. Dew points near 11–12°C and light winds should limit the drop, while any increase in cloud cover or wind could hold the minimum closer to 14°C; historical August norms for Amsterdam lows hover near 14°C. With resolution based on official station data for the calendar day ending August 22, fresh model runs overnight represent the key upcoming update that could shift positioning between these two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ET
Volumen
$30Fecha de finalización
22 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles, alongside KNMI guidance, drives the tight 13–14°C clustering in trader-implied odds by projecting overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with northwesterly flow advecting milder maritime air. Dew points near 11–12°C and light winds should limit the drop, while any increase in cloud cover or wind could hold the minimum closer to 14°C; historical August norms for Amsterdam lows hover near 14°C. With resolution based on official station data for the calendar day ending August 22, fresh model runs overnight represent the key upcoming update that could shift positioning between these two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$30Fecha de finalización
22 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles, alongside KNMI guidance, drives the tight 13–14°C clustering in trader-implied odds by projecting overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with northwesterly flow advecting milder maritime air. Dew points near 11–12°C and light winds should limit the drop, while any increase in cloud cover or wind could hold the minimum closer to 14°C; historical August norms for Amsterdam lows hover near 14°C. With resolution based on official station data for the calendar day ending August 22, fresh model runs overnight represent the key upcoming update that could shift positioning between these two leading outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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