Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance indicate the August 30 overnight low in New York City will likely settle near 65°F amid mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs in the low-to-mid 80s. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 64–69°F ranges because small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or dew-point advection can shift the minimum by 2–4°F, while historical late-August climatology places typical minima near 66°F. Lower-probability outcomes below 60°F would require stronger northerly flow or clearer conditions than currently modeled, whereas higher readings near 70°F depend on increased cloudiness or urban heat retention persisting through dawn. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for any probability shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 30 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 30 de agosto?
57°F o menos 40%
76°F o más 40%
74-75°F 38%
66-67°F 30%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 ago 2026
57°F o menos
40%
58-59°F
20%
60-61°F
20%
62-63°F
20%
64-65°F
24%
66-67°F
30%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
20%
72-73°F
20%
74-75°F
38%
76°F o más
40%
57°F o menos 40%
76°F o más 40%
74-75°F 38%
66-67°F 30%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 ago 2026
57°F o menos
$5 Vol.
40%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
20%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
20%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
20%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
24%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
30%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
26%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
20%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
20%
74-75°F
$5 Vol.
38%
76°F o más
$5 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance indicate the August 30 overnight low in New York City will likely settle near 65°F amid mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs in the low-to-mid 80s. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 64–69°F ranges because small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or dew-point advection can shift the minimum by 2–4°F, while historical late-August climatology places typical minima near 66°F. Lower-probability outcomes below 60°F would require stronger northerly flow or clearer conditions than currently modeled, whereas higher readings near 70°F depend on increased cloudiness or urban heat retention persisting through dawn. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Volumen
$15Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance indicate the August 30 overnight low in New York City will likely settle near 65°F amid mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs in the low-to-mid 80s. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 64–69°F ranges because small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or dew-point advection can shift the minimum by 2–4°F, while historical late-August climatology places typical minima near 66°F. Lower-probability outcomes below 60°F would require stronger northerly flow or clearer conditions than currently modeled, whereas higher readings near 70°F depend on increased cloudiness or urban heat retention persisting through dawn. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$15Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance indicate the August 30 overnight low in New York City will likely settle near 65°F amid mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs in the low-to-mid 80s. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 64–69°F ranges because small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or dew-point advection can shift the minimum by 2–4°F, while historical late-August climatology places typical minima near 66°F. Lower-probability outcomes below 60°F would require stronger northerly flow or clearer conditions than currently modeled, whereas higher readings near 70°F depend on increased cloudiness or urban heat retention persisting through dawn. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for any probability shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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