Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international models indicate a moderating influence from peripheral flows associated with typhoon systems, bringing cloud cover, northerly winds, and scattered rain to Wuhan on August 30. This pattern supports overnight lows in the 24–27°C range, with official outlooks citing 26°C as a baseline minimum amid 60–80% precipitation chances. Model variations arise from differences in rainfall timing and wind strength, which affect radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing. Trader consensus clusters around 25–27°C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exact overnight stabilization under humid subtropical conditions typical for late August in the Yangtze region. Updated model runs and local agency briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Wuhan el 30 de agosto?
22°C or below 88%
30°C 85%
29°C 48%
26°C 45%
22°C or below
88%
23°C
30%
24°C
40%
25°C
42%
26°C
45%
27°C
45%
28°C
2%
29°C
48%
30°C
85%
31°C
8%
32°C or higher
12%
22°C or below 88%
30°C 85%
29°C 48%
26°C 45%
22°C or below
88%
23°C
30%
24°C
40%
25°C
42%
26°C
45%
27°C
45%
28°C
2%
29°C
48%
30°C
85%
31°C
8%
32°C or higher
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international models indicate a moderating influence from peripheral flows associated with typhoon systems, bringing cloud cover, northerly winds, and scattered rain to Wuhan on August 30. This pattern supports overnight lows in the 24–27°C range, with official outlooks citing 26°C as a baseline minimum amid 60–80% precipitation chances. Model variations arise from differences in rainfall timing and wind strength, which affect radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing. Trader consensus clusters around 25–27°C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exact overnight stabilization under humid subtropical conditions typical for late August in the Yangtze region. Updated model runs and local agency briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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