Forecast models for September 1 point to a Wuhan overnight low near 23–25 °C, shaped by northerly flow on the periphery of Typhoon Shadell that advects cooler, drier air while increasing cloud cover and scattered rain. These conditions limit daytime heating and promote modest nocturnal cooling relative to the recent heatwave, yet remain above late-summer climatological minima. Market-implied odds cluster around the 18 °C–below and 28 °C–above tails because ensemble guidance still diverges on exact wind speed, cloud duration, and timing of any heavier showers—variables that can shift the minimum by several degrees. Traders weigh official Chinese Meteorological Administration and global model consensus against historical analogs showing that similar post-typhoon setups often produce lows in the low-to-mid 20s °C.