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Geopolítica·Israel

¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 30 de junio?

icon for ¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 30 de junio?
Geopolítica·Israel

¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 30 de junio?

jun 30

dic 31

jun 30

dic 31

$437,297 Vol.

30 jun 2026
Polymarket

$437,297 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Corea del Norte

Corea del Norte

$37,479 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cuba

Cuba

$51,033 Vol.

1%

icon for Arabia Saudita

Arabia Saudita

$49,061 Vol.

1%

icon for Líbano

Líbano

$71,282 Vol.

3%

icon for Afganistán

Afganistán

$18,677 Vol.

1%

icon for Irak

Irak

$35,226 Vol.

1%

icon for Pakistán

Pakistán

$8,802 Vol.

1%

icon for Siria

Siria

$14,168 Vol.

2%

icon for Venezuela

Venezuela

$87,983 Vol.

1%

icon for Túnez

Túnez

$2,679 Vol.

2%

icon for Kuwait

Kuwait

$2,021 Vol.

1%

icon for Catar

Catar

$7,278 Vol.

<1%

icon for Indonesia

Indonesia

$19,603 Vol.

1%

icon for Malasia

Malasia

$26,493 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bangladés

Bangladés

$5,513 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Diplomatic momentum for new Israeli recognitions remains limited ahead of the June 30 deadline, with trader sentiment shaped by stalled normalization talks and entrenched positions among the 29 UN members that currently withhold formal recognition. Recent U.S. diplomatic outreach, including President Trump’s May 2026 calls urging several Arab and Muslim states to join the Abraham Accords as part of broader regional deals, has not produced concrete announcements. Saudi Arabia continues to condition any ties on Palestinian statehood progress, while Pakistan has reiterated that recognition is not under consideration absent a satisfactory two-state resolution. No major bilateral breakthroughs or scheduled summits fall within the narrow two-week window, leaving the near-term outlook dependent on quiet back-channel developments rather than public shifts.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$437,297
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 20, 2025, 2:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Diplomatic momentum for new Israeli recognitions remains limited ahead of the June 30 deadline, with trader sentiment shaped by stalled normalization talks and entrenched positions among the 29 UN members that currently withhold formal recognition. Recent U.S. diplomatic outreach, including President Trump’s May 2026 calls urging several Arab and Muslim states to join the Abraham Accords as part of broader regional deals, has not produced concrete announcements. Saudi Arabia continues to condition any ties on Palestinian statehood progress, while Pakistan has reiterated that recognition is not under consideration absent a satisfactory two-state resolution. No major bilateral breakthroughs or scheduled summits fall within the narrow two-week window, leaving the near-term outlook dependent on quiet back-channel developments rather than public shifts.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$437,297
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 20, 2025, 2:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 30 de junio?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 15 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Líbano" con 3%, seguido de "Siria" con 2%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 3¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 3% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 30 de junio?" ha generado $437.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 20, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 30 de junio?", explora los 15 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 30 de junio?" es "Líbano" con solo 3%, con "Siria" muy cerca con 2%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 30 de junio?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.