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Tech·Apple

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?

icon for #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?
Tech·Apple

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?

Ended: Jun 5

Jul 31

Ended: Jun 5

Jul 31

Claude by Anthropic 99.6%

ChatGPT <1%

Google Gemini <1%

Google <1%

Polymarket

$7,594 Vol.

Claude by Anthropic 99.6%

ChatGPT <1%

Google Gemini <1%

Google <1%

Polymarket

$7,594 Vol.

icon for ChatGPT

ChatGPT

$397 Vol.

No

icon for Google Gemini

Google Gemini

$424 Vol.

No

icon for Claude by Anthropic

Claude by Anthropic

$3,853 Vol.

Yes

icon for Google

Google

$596 Vol.

No

icon for Instants, an Instagram app

Instants, an Instagram app

$507 Vol.

No

icon for Threads

Threads

$455 Vol.

No

icon for CapCut: Photo & Video Editor

CapCut: Photo & Video Editor

$1,007 Vol.

No

icon for Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire

Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire

$355 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone). Claude by Anthropic holds overwhelming market-implied odds for the #2 free spot in the U.S. Apple App Store on June 5 because of its sustained momentum among large language model apps. The iOS app, launched earlier and rated 4.7 stars with over 162,000 reviews, has driven record sign-ups and user growth after its March surge past ChatGPT, fueled by expanded capabilities in coding, research, and complex tasks plus aggressive marketing. With ChatGPT typically locked at #1 and other AI tools or entertainment apps trailing, traders see Claude’s consistent top-tier engagement and developer ecosystem support as decisive. A major new release or unexpected viral shift could still alter rankings on resolution day, though recent Sensor Tower data shows stable positioning.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$7,594
End Date
Jun 5, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 9:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone). Claude by Anthropic holds overwhelming market-implied odds for the #2 free spot in the U.S. Apple App Store on June 5 because of its sustained momentum among large language model apps. The iOS app, launched earlier and rated 4.7 stars with over 162,000 reviews, has driven record sign-ups and user growth after its March surge past ChatGPT, fueled by expanded capabilities in coding, research, and complex tasks plus aggressive marketing. With ChatGPT typically locked at #1 and other AI tools or entertainment apps trailing, traders see Claude’s consistent top-tier engagement and developer ecosystem support as decisive. A major new release or unexpected viral shift could still alter rankings on resolution day, though recent Sensor Tower data shows stable positioning.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$7,594
End Date
Jun 5, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 9:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Claude by Anthropic" at 100%, followed by "ChatGPT" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 1, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?" is "Claude by Anthropic" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "ChatGPT" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.