OpenAI’s release of GPT-6 Sol on September 16 has driven near-unanimous trader consensus that the next Sol-tier model (5.7 or higher) arrived on or before September 22. This follows the GPT-5.6 Sol public rollout in July after regulatory delays and builds on iterative capability gains in coding, agentic workflows, and efficiency benchmarks. Official announcements and benchmark documentation confirm the September 16 launch of GPT-6 Sol alongside related variants, aligning directly with market resolution criteria. While the strong positioning reflects verified release timing, unexpected last-minute adjustments to versioning or delayed full availability could still introduce minor resolution uncertainty in edge cases.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOn or prior to September 22 100.0%
September 23 <1%
September 24 <1%
September 25 <1%
$56,118 Vol.
$56,118 Vol.
Sep 22, 2026
On or prior to September 22
Yes
September 23
No
September 24
No
September 25
No
September 26
No
September 27
No
September 28
No
September 29
No
September 30
No
October 1
No
October 2
No
October 3
No
October 4
No
October 5
No
No release by October 5
No
On or prior to September 22 100.0%
September 23 <1%
September 24 <1%
September 25 <1%
$56,118 Vol.
$56,118 Vol.
Sep 22, 2026
On or prior to September 22
$20,227 Vol.
Yes
September 23
$3,220 Vol.
No
September 24
$3,611 Vol.
No
September 25
$3,632 Vol.
No
September 26
$3,327 Vol.
No
September 27
$3,127 Vol.
No
September 28
$2,956 Vol.
No
September 29
$2,469 Vol.
No
September 30
$2,982 Vol.
No
October 1
$1,540 Vol.
No
October 2
$1,565 Vol.
No
October 3
$1,713 Vol.
No
October 4
$1,199 Vol.
No
October 5
$1,874 Vol.
No
No release by October 5
$2,678 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's next GPT Sol model (5.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Sol" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Sol would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Sol or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Sol" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Luna, or GPT-6 Astra (released September 4, 2026), will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s release of GPT-6 Sol on September 16 has driven near-unanimous trader consensus that the next Sol-tier model (5.7 or higher) arrived on or before September 22. This follows the GPT-5.6 Sol public rollout in July after regulatory delays and builds on iterative capability gains in coding, agentic workflows, and efficiency benchmarks. Official announcements and benchmark documentation confirm the September 16 launch of GPT-6 Sol alongside related variants, aligning directly with market resolution criteria. While the strong positioning reflects verified release timing, unexpected last-minute adjustments to versioning or delayed full availability could still introduce minor resolution uncertainty in edge cases.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's next GPT Sol model (5.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Sol" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Sol would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Sol or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Sol" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Luna, or GPT-6 Astra (released September 4, 2026), will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Sol" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Sol would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Sol or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Sol" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Luna, or GPT-6 Astra (released September 4, 2026), will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Sep 21, 2026, 5:01 PM ET
Volume
$56,118End Date
Oct 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 5:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's next GPT Sol model (5.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Sol" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Sol would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Sol or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Sol" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Luna, or GPT-6 Astra (released September 4, 2026), will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s release of GPT-6 Sol on September 16 has driven near-unanimous trader consensus that the next Sol-tier model (5.7 or higher) arrived on or before September 22. This follows the GPT-5.6 Sol public rollout in July after regulatory delays and builds on iterative capability gains in coding, agentic workflows, and efficiency benchmarks. Official announcements and benchmark documentation confirm the September 16 launch of GPT-6 Sol alongside related variants, aligning directly with market resolution criteria. While the strong positioning reflects verified release timing, unexpected last-minute adjustments to versioning or delayed full availability could still introduce minor resolution uncertainty in edge cases.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's next GPT Sol model (5.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Sol" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Sol would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Sol or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Sol" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Luna, or GPT-6 Astra (released September 4, 2026), will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Sol" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Sol would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Sol or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Sol" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Luna, or GPT-6 Astra (released September 4, 2026), will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$56,118End Date
Oct 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 5:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
OpenAI’s release of GPT-6 Sol on September 16 has driven near-unanimous trader consensus that the next Sol-tier model (5.7 or higher) arrived on or before September 22. This follows the GPT-5.6 Sol public rollout in July after regulatory delays and builds on iterative capability gains in coding, agentic workflows, and efficiency benchmarks. Official announcements and benchmark documentation confirm the September 16 launch of GPT-6 Sol alongside related variants, aligning directly with market resolution criteria. While the strong positioning reflects verified release timing, unexpected last-minute adjustments to versioning or delayed full availability could still introduce minor resolution uncertainty in edge cases.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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