Tech leaders dominate expectations for the September 24 White House state dinner honoring Xi Jinping, with market-implied odds above 93% for Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang, OpenAI’s Sam Altman, Apple executive chairman Tim Cook, Elon Musk, Microsoft’s Satya Nadella, and Google’s Sundar Pichai. Recent official briefings and reporting confirm their invitations, driven by the summit’s focus on artificial intelligence competition, semiconductor export controls, and US-China technological rivalry. The guest list mirrors the AI-heavy cohort from May’s Beijing talks, underscoring trader consensus around Silicon Valley’s role in shaping outcomes amid ongoing chip tensions and regulatory debates. The dinner occurs amid Xi’s September 23–25 visit, with any late additions or exclusions representing the main swing factors before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
$14,113 Vol.
Oct 7, 2026
Elon Musk
99%
Tim Cook
97%
Jensen Huang
92%
Sundar Pichai
96%
Satya Nadella
93%
Sam Altman
79%
John Ternus
34%
Dario Amodei
30%
Alex Karp
7%
Mark Zuckerberg
48%
$14,113 Vol.
Elon Musk
$2,213 Vol.
99%
Tim Cook
$1,813 Vol.
97%
Jensen Huang
$2,201 Vol.
92%
Sundar Pichai
$2,375 Vol.
96%
Satya Nadella
$2,038 Vol.
93%
Sam Altman
$924 Vol.
79%
John Ternus
$181 Vol.
34%
Dario Amodei
$850 Vol.
30%
Alex Karp
$94 Vol.
7%
Mark Zuckerberg
$1,423 Vol.
48%
Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States around September 24, 2026, during which Donald Trump is expected to host a state dinner for him at the White House.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is confirmed to have attended the White House state dinner held for Xi Jinping between market creation and October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attending the state dinner is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the state dinner.
A qualifying state dinner must both occur and be known to have occurred within the specified timeframe.
Attendance at a state dinner which occurred before market creation will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Tech leaders dominate expectations for the September 24 White House state dinner honoring Xi Jinping, with market-implied odds above 93% for Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang, OpenAI’s Sam Altman, Apple executive chairman Tim Cook, Elon Musk, Microsoft’s Satya Nadella, and Google’s Sundar Pichai. Recent official briefings and reporting confirm their invitations, driven by the summit’s focus on artificial intelligence competition, semiconductor export controls, and US-China technological rivalry. The guest list mirrors the AI-heavy cohort from May’s Beijing talks, underscoring trader consensus around Silicon Valley’s role in shaping outcomes amid ongoing chip tensions and regulatory debates. The dinner occurs amid Xi’s September 23–25 visit, with any late additions or exclusions representing the main swing factors before resolution.
Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States around September 24, 2026, during which Donald Trump is expected to host a state dinner for him at the White House.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is confirmed to have attended the White House state dinner held for Xi Jinping between market creation and October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attending the state dinner is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the state dinner.
A qualifying state dinner must both occur and be known to have occurred within the specified timeframe.
Attendance at a state dinner which occurred before market creation will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is confirmed to have attended the White House state dinner held for Xi Jinping between market creation and October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attending the state dinner is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the state dinner.
A qualifying state dinner must both occur and be known to have occurred within the specified timeframe.
Attendance at a state dinner which occurred before market creation will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Sep 21, 2026, 7:03 PM ET
Volume
$14,113End Date
Oct 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 7:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States around September 24, 2026, during which Donald Trump is expected to host a state dinner for him at the White House.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is confirmed to have attended the White House state dinner held for Xi Jinping between market creation and October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attending the state dinner is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the state dinner.
A qualifying state dinner must both occur and be known to have occurred within the specified timeframe.
Attendance at a state dinner which occurred before market creation will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Tech leaders dominate expectations for the September 24 White House state dinner honoring Xi Jinping, with market-implied odds above 93% for Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang, OpenAI’s Sam Altman, Apple executive chairman Tim Cook, Elon Musk, Microsoft’s Satya Nadella, and Google’s Sundar Pichai. Recent official briefings and reporting confirm their invitations, driven by the summit’s focus on artificial intelligence competition, semiconductor export controls, and US-China technological rivalry. The guest list mirrors the AI-heavy cohort from May’s Beijing talks, underscoring trader consensus around Silicon Valley’s role in shaping outcomes amid ongoing chip tensions and regulatory debates. The dinner occurs amid Xi’s September 23–25 visit, with any late additions or exclusions representing the main swing factors before resolution.
Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States around September 24, 2026, during which Donald Trump is expected to host a state dinner for him at the White House.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is confirmed to have attended the White House state dinner held for Xi Jinping between market creation and October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attending the state dinner is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the state dinner.
A qualifying state dinner must both occur and be known to have occurred within the specified timeframe.
Attendance at a state dinner which occurred before market creation will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is confirmed to have attended the White House state dinner held for Xi Jinping between market creation and October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attending the state dinner is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the state dinner.
A qualifying state dinner must both occur and be known to have occurred within the specified timeframe.
Attendance at a state dinner which occurred before market creation will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$14,113End Date
Oct 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 7:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Tech leaders dominate expectations for the September 24 White House state dinner honoring Xi Jinping, with market-implied odds above 93% for Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang, OpenAI’s Sam Altman, Apple executive chairman Tim Cook, Elon Musk, Microsoft’s Satya Nadella, and Google’s Sundar Pichai. Recent official briefings and reporting confirm their invitations, driven by the summit’s focus on artificial intelligence competition, semiconductor export controls, and US-China technological rivalry. The guest list mirrors the AI-heavy cohort from May’s Beijing talks, underscoring trader consensus around Silicon Valley’s role in shaping outcomes amid ongoing chip tensions and regulatory debates. The dinner occurs amid Xi’s September 23–25 visit, with any late additions or exclusions representing the main swing factors before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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