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icon for Colombia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout?
Politics·Columbia

Colombia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout?

icon for Colombia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout?
Politics·Columbia

Colombia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout?

57-60% 100.0%

<48% <1%

48-51% <1%

51-54% <1%

Polymarket

$24,146 Vol.

57-60% 100.0%

<48% <1%

48-51% <1%

51-54% <1%

Polymarket

$24,146 Vol.

<48%

$2,766 Vol.

No

48-51%

$2,170 Vol.

No

51-54%

$2,687 Vol.

No

54-57%

$2,923 Vol.

No

57-60%

$9,570 Vol.

Yes

60%+

$4,031 Vol.

No

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).**The first round of Colombia’s 2026 presidential election on May 31 produced a certified turnout of 57.89 percent, with roughly 24 million votes cast from an electorate of about 41.4 million registered voters.** This level of participation—the highest in recent cycles—reflects intense polarization between the top two candidates, Abelardo de la Espriella and Iván Cepeda, which mobilized voters across key regions and demographics. Official results from Colombia’s electoral authorities placed the figure squarely inside the 57-60 percent band, aligning with pre-election expectations of elevated engagement compared with historical averages of 40-55 percent. The market’s strong consensus on this range follows directly from the rapid count and subsequent certification process. A material shift would require an unusually large adjustment through recounts, widespread invalidation of ballots, or disputes over the final registry, none of which have materialized in the certified data. The upcoming June 21 runoff may see higher turnout, but that does not affect resolution of the first-round market.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$24,146
End Date
May 31, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).**The first round of Colombia’s 2026 presidential election on May 31 produced a certified turnout of 57.89 percent, with roughly 24 million votes cast from an electorate of about 41.4 million registered voters.** This level of participation—the highest in recent cycles—reflects intense polarization between the top two candidates, Abelardo de la Espriella and Iván Cepeda, which mobilized voters across key regions and demographics. Official results from Colombia’s electoral authorities placed the figure squarely inside the 57-60 percent band, aligning with pre-election expectations of elevated engagement compared with historical averages of 40-55 percent. The market’s strong consensus on this range follows directly from the rapid count and subsequent certification process. A material shift would require an unusually large adjustment through recounts, widespread invalidation of ballots, or disputes over the final registry, none of which have materialized in the certified data. The upcoming June 21 runoff may see higher turnout, but that does not affect resolution of the first-round market.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$24,146
End Date
May 31, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Colombia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "57-60%" at 100%, followed by "<48%" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Colombia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout?" has generated $24.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 21, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Colombia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Colombia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout?" is "57-60%" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<48%" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Colombia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.