Traders have converged on a 19°C high in Amsterdam on June 5 with near-certainty because multiple forecast models and real-time observations from European meteorological agencies align on this precise threshold under stable atmospheric conditions. Current temperature trends, moderate humidity levels, and prevailing wind patterns are suppressing additional warming, consistent with typical early-June climatology for the region where daily maxima rarely deviate sharply from model consensus. Official guidance shows no significant model spread or incoming warm advection that would push readings higher. Only an unanticipated microclimate shift or late revision in observational data could alter the outcome, though such developments remain highly improbable given the convergence of sources.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on June 5?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 5?
19°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$61,000 Vol.
$61,000 Vol.
Jun 5, 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$61,000 Vol.
$61,000 Vol.
Jun 5, 2026
11°C or below
$404 Vol.
No
12°C
$313 Vol.
No
13°C
$2,388 Vol.
No
14°C
$1,976 Vol.
No
15°C
$2,392 Vol.
No
16°C
$6,577 Vol.
No
17°C
$8,464 Vol.
No
18°C
$9,827 Vol.
No
19°C
$11,520 Vol.
Yes
20°C
$8,069 Vol.
No
21°C or higher
$9,070 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on a 19°C high in Amsterdam on June 5 with near-certainty because multiple forecast models and real-time observations from European meteorological agencies align on this precise threshold under stable atmospheric conditions. Current temperature trends, moderate humidity levels, and prevailing wind patterns are suppressing additional warming, consistent with typical early-June climatology for the region where daily maxima rarely deviate sharply from model consensus. Official guidance shows no significant model spread or incoming warm advection that would push readings higher. Only an unanticipated microclimate shift or late revision in observational data could alter the outcome, though such developments remain highly improbable given the convergence of sources.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 3, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$61,000End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on a 19°C high in Amsterdam on June 5 with near-certainty because multiple forecast models and real-time observations from European meteorological agencies align on this precise threshold under stable atmospheric conditions. Current temperature trends, moderate humidity levels, and prevailing wind patterns are suppressing additional warming, consistent with typical early-June climatology for the region where daily maxima rarely deviate sharply from model consensus. Official guidance shows no significant model spread or incoming warm advection that would push readings higher. Only an unanticipated microclimate shift or late revision in observational data could alter the outcome, though such developments remain highly improbable given the convergence of sources.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$61,000End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Traders have converged on a 19°C high in Amsterdam on June 5 with near-certainty because multiple forecast models and real-time observations from European meteorological agencies align on this precise threshold under stable atmospheric conditions. Current temperature trends, moderate humidity levels, and prevailing wind patterns are suppressing additional warming, consistent with typical early-June climatology for the region where daily maxima rarely deviate sharply from model consensus. Official guidance shows no significant model spread or incoming warm advection that would push readings higher. Only an unanticipated microclimate shift or late revision in observational data could alter the outcome, though such developments remain highly improbable given the convergence of sources.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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