Current forecasts from major meteorological models, including consensus outputs aligned with the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, indicate a maximum temperature of 18°C for Ankara today under stable high-pressure conditions and limited daytime heating. This positioning reflects observed morning temperatures near 9–12°C combined with modest afternoon warming from partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with climatological averages for mid-May in central Anatolia. Scenarios that could shift the outcome remain limited, such as an unexpected surge in solar radiation or a rapid change in local advection patterns, though ensemble guidance shows minimal spread around this threshold as the day progresses toward resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on May 21?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 21?
18°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$60,175 Vol.
$60,175 Vol.
May 21, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$60,175 Vol.
$60,175 Vol.
May 21, 2026
12°C or below
$3,478 Vol.
No
13°C
$1,402 Vol.
No
14°C
$4,250 Vol.
No
15°C
$2,877 Vol.
No
16°C
$4,934 Vol.
No
17°C
$4,055 Vol.
No
18°C
$10,411 Vol.
Yes
19°C
$8,361 Vol.
No
20°C
$11,236 Vol.
No
21°C
$7,120 Vol.
No
22°C or higher
$2,051 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from major meteorological models, including consensus outputs aligned with the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, indicate a maximum temperature of 18°C for Ankara today under stable high-pressure conditions and limited daytime heating. This positioning reflects observed morning temperatures near 9–12°C combined with modest afternoon warming from partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with climatological averages for mid-May in central Anatolia. Scenarios that could shift the outcome remain limited, such as an unexpected surge in solar radiation or a rapid change in local advection patterns, though ensemble guidance shows minimal spread around this threshold as the day progresses toward resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$60,175End Date
May 21, 2026Market Opened
May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from major meteorological models, including consensus outputs aligned with the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, indicate a maximum temperature of 18°C for Ankara today under stable high-pressure conditions and limited daytime heating. This positioning reflects observed morning temperatures near 9–12°C combined with modest afternoon warming from partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with climatological averages for mid-May in central Anatolia. Scenarios that could shift the outcome remain limited, such as an unexpected surge in solar radiation or a rapid change in local advection patterns, though ensemble guidance shows minimal spread around this threshold as the day progresses toward resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$60,175End Date
May 21, 2026Market Opened
May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current forecasts from major meteorological models, including consensus outputs aligned with the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, indicate a maximum temperature of 18°C for Ankara today under stable high-pressure conditions and limited daytime heating. This positioning reflects observed morning temperatures near 9–12°C combined with modest afternoon warming from partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with climatological averages for mid-May in central Anatolia. Scenarios that could shift the outcome remain limited, such as an unexpected surge in solar radiation or a rapid change in local advection patterns, though ensemble guidance shows minimal spread around this threshold as the day progresses toward resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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