The National Weather Service's daily climatological report for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) confirms the highest temperature on April 27, 2026, reached 88-89°F, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome as measured by the airport's Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS). This aligns with observational data from hourly METAR reports showing peak heat in the late afternoon amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds that capped intensification, consistent with forecast model guidance from NOAA's GFS and NAM ensembles predicting moderated highs under a weak upper-level ridge. With the report finalized, resolution is imminent barring rare data revisions from quality control checks; unrealistic challenges would require confirmed sensor malfunctions or reanalysis, which occur in under 0.1% of cases historically. Traders await any final NWS updates, though positioning reflects skin-in-the-game certainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Austin on April 27?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 27?
88-89°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$81,782 Vol.
$81,782 Vol.
Apr 27, 2026
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
Yes
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
88-89°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$81,782 Vol.
$81,782 Vol.
Apr 27, 2026
73°F or below
$3,717 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$3,011 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$6,886 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$4,026 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$1,367 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$6,840 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$6,175 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$15,050 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$20,277 Vol.
Yes
90-91°F
$6,736 Vol.
No
92°F or higher
$7,697 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's daily climatological report for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) confirms the highest temperature on April 27, 2026, reached 88-89°F, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome as measured by the airport's Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS). This aligns with observational data from hourly METAR reports showing peak heat in the late afternoon amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds that capped intensification, consistent with forecast model guidance from NOAA's GFS and NAM ensembles predicting moderated highs under a weak upper-level ridge. With the report finalized, resolution is imminent barring rare data revisions from quality control checks; unrealistic challenges would require confirmed sensor malfunctions or reanalysis, which occur in under 0.1% of cases historically. Traders await any final NWS updates, though positioning reflects skin-in-the-game certainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 25, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Volume
$81,782End Date
Apr 27, 2026Market Opened
Apr 25, 2026, 12:21 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's daily climatological report for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) confirms the highest temperature on April 27, 2026, reached 88-89°F, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome as measured by the airport's Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS). This aligns with observational data from hourly METAR reports showing peak heat in the late afternoon amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds that capped intensification, consistent with forecast model guidance from NOAA's GFS and NAM ensembles predicting moderated highs under a weak upper-level ridge. With the report finalized, resolution is imminent barring rare data revisions from quality control checks; unrealistic challenges would require confirmed sensor malfunctions or reanalysis, which occur in under 0.1% of cases historically. Traders await any final NWS updates, though positioning reflects skin-in-the-game certainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$81,782End Date
Apr 27, 2026Market Opened
Apr 25, 2026, 12:21 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The National Weather Service's daily climatological report for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) confirms the highest temperature on April 27, 2026, reached 88-89°F, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome as measured by the airport's Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS). This aligns with observational data from hourly METAR reports showing peak heat in the late afternoon amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds that capped intensification, consistent with forecast model guidance from NOAA's GFS and NAM ensembles predicting moderated highs under a weak upper-level ridge. With the report finalized, resolution is imminent barring rare data revisions from quality control checks; unrealistic challenges would require confirmed sensor malfunctions or reanalysis, which occur in under 0.1% of cases historically. Traders await any final NWS updates, though positioning reflects skin-in-the-game certainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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