Official hourly observations from Beijing Capital International Airport (ZBAA), the market's resolution station under China Meteorological Administration protocols, confirm the temperature peaked at 23°C around midday on April 19, with subsequent readings declining amid increasing cloud cover and light northerly winds. This aligns with consensus from updated ECMWF and GFS model runs, which projected highs of 22–24°C under mild spring conditions typical for mid-April, where historical averages hover near 22°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects the locked-in daily maximum, as sunset approaches with minimal solar heating potential remaining. Realistic challenges include a rare late-afternoon cloud break enabling a brief 1°C spike or post-facto data revision from quality-controlled records, though probabilities remain negligible per current meteorological data. Final CMA summary expected post-midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on April 19?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 19?
23°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$163,156 Vol.
$163,156 Vol.
Apr 19, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$163,156 Vol.
$163,156 Vol.
Apr 19, 2026
19°C or below
$23,133 Vol.
No
20°C
$17,521 Vol.
No
21°C
$11,171 Vol.
No
22°C
$14,718 Vol.
No
23°C
$27,607 Vol.
Yes
24°C
$15,634 Vol.
No
25°C
$17,674 Vol.
No
26°C
$15,514 Vol.
No
27°C
$6,179 Vol.
No
28°C
$3,793 Vol.
No
29°C or higher
$10,212 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official hourly observations from Beijing Capital International Airport (ZBAA), the market's resolution station under China Meteorological Administration protocols, confirm the temperature peaked at 23°C around midday on April 19, with subsequent readings declining amid increasing cloud cover and light northerly winds. This aligns with consensus from updated ECMWF and GFS model runs, which projected highs of 22–24°C under mild spring conditions typical for mid-April, where historical averages hover near 22°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects the locked-in daily maximum, as sunset approaches with minimal solar heating potential remaining. Realistic challenges include a rare late-afternoon cloud break enabling a brief 1°C spike or post-facto data revision from quality-controlled records, though probabilities remain negligible per current meteorological data. Final CMA summary expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 17, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Volume
$163,156End Date
Apr 19, 2026Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 12:19 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official hourly observations from Beijing Capital International Airport (ZBAA), the market's resolution station under China Meteorological Administration protocols, confirm the temperature peaked at 23°C around midday on April 19, with subsequent readings declining amid increasing cloud cover and light northerly winds. This aligns with consensus from updated ECMWF and GFS model runs, which projected highs of 22–24°C under mild spring conditions typical for mid-April, where historical averages hover near 22°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects the locked-in daily maximum, as sunset approaches with minimal solar heating potential remaining. Realistic challenges include a rare late-afternoon cloud break enabling a brief 1°C spike or post-facto data revision from quality-controlled records, though probabilities remain negligible per current meteorological data. Final CMA summary expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$163,156End Date
Apr 19, 2026Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 12:19 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official hourly observations from Beijing Capital International Airport (ZBAA), the market's resolution station under China Meteorological Administration protocols, confirm the temperature peaked at 23°C around midday on April 19, with subsequent readings declining amid increasing cloud cover and light northerly winds. This aligns with consensus from updated ECMWF and GFS model runs, which projected highs of 22–24°C under mild spring conditions typical for mid-April, where historical averages hover near 22°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects the locked-in daily maximum, as sunset approaches with minimal solar heating potential remaining. Realistic challenges include a rare late-afternoon cloud break enabling a brief 1°C spike or post-facto data revision from quality-controlled records, though probabilities remain negligible per current meteorological data. Final CMA summary expected post-midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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