The overwhelming trader consensus for a 27°C high in Beijing on May 21 reflects current observational data and forecast model outputs from the China Meteorological Administration showing a peak afternoon temperature of exactly that value under stable high-pressure conditions. Recent surface analyses indicate light winds, partly cloudy skies, and a modest warming trend consistent with mid-May climatology for the North China Plain, where typical maxima fall between 24–28°C. This positioning aligns with ensemble guidance showing limited afternoon heating potential and no significant advection of warmer air masses. A shift could occur only if unexpected clear-sky intensification or a delayed frontal passage boosts insolation beyond modeled levels, though current radar and satellite trends make such revisions unlikely before evening observations finalize the official reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on May 21?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 21?
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$122,909 Vol.
$122,909 Vol.
May 21, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$122,909 Vol.
$122,909 Vol.
May 21, 2026
22°C or below
$3,723 Vol.
No
23°C
$20,713 Vol.
No
24°C
$15,537 Vol.
No
25°C
$13,569 Vol.
No
26°C
$12,974 Vol.
No
27°C
$16,795 Vol.
Yes
28°C
$10,936 Vol.
No
29°C
$12,509 Vol.
No
30°C
$4,257 Vol.
No
31°C
$6,208 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$5,688 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The overwhelming trader consensus for a 27°C high in Beijing on May 21 reflects current observational data and forecast model outputs from the China Meteorological Administration showing a peak afternoon temperature of exactly that value under stable high-pressure conditions. Recent surface analyses indicate light winds, partly cloudy skies, and a modest warming trend consistent with mid-May climatology for the North China Plain, where typical maxima fall between 24–28°C. This positioning aligns with ensemble guidance showing limited afternoon heating potential and no significant advection of warmer air masses. A shift could occur only if unexpected clear-sky intensification or a delayed frontal passage boosts insolation beyond modeled levels, though current radar and satellite trends make such revisions unlikely before evening observations finalize the official reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 19, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$122,909End Date
May 21, 2026Market Opened
May 19, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The overwhelming trader consensus for a 27°C high in Beijing on May 21 reflects current observational data and forecast model outputs from the China Meteorological Administration showing a peak afternoon temperature of exactly that value under stable high-pressure conditions. Recent surface analyses indicate light winds, partly cloudy skies, and a modest warming trend consistent with mid-May climatology for the North China Plain, where typical maxima fall between 24–28°C. This positioning aligns with ensemble guidance showing limited afternoon heating potential and no significant advection of warmer air masses. A shift could occur only if unexpected clear-sky intensification or a delayed frontal passage boosts insolation beyond modeled levels, though current radar and satellite trends make such revisions unlikely before evening observations finalize the official reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$122,909End Date
May 21, 2026Market Opened
May 19, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The overwhelming trader consensus for a 27°C high in Beijing on May 21 reflects current observational data and forecast model outputs from the China Meteorological Administration showing a peak afternoon temperature of exactly that value under stable high-pressure conditions. Recent surface analyses indicate light winds, partly cloudy skies, and a modest warming trend consistent with mid-May climatology for the North China Plain, where typical maxima fall between 24–28°C. This positioning aligns with ensemble guidance showing limited afternoon heating potential and no significant advection of warmer air masses. A shift could occur only if unexpected clear-sky intensification or a delayed frontal passage boosts insolation beyond modeled levels, though current radar and satellite trends make such revisions unlikely before evening observations finalize the official reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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