Official observations from Ministro Pistarini International Airport (Ezeiza), the market's resolution source, confirm Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 5 reached exactly 24°C, aligning with trader consensus at 100% implied probability and driving the dominant positioning. This matches pre-event forecasts from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projecting a maximum around 24°C under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and a stable high-pressure system suppressing further warming despite May's typical autumn highs of 18–20°C. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF showed consensus for mild conditions without significant heat advection. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from official METAR reports or sensor recalibration, though such post hoc adjustments are infrequent in verified aviation-grade measurements. Final SMN bulletin expected within 24 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 5?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 5?
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$92,789 Vol.
$92,789 Vol.
May 5, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$92,789 Vol.
$92,789 Vol.
May 5, 2026
18°C or below
$15,380 Vol.
No
19°C
$3,078 Vol.
No
20°C
$7,627 Vol.
No
21°C
$10,775 Vol.
No
22°C
$9,360 Vol.
No
23°C
$12,107 Vol.
No
24°C
$6,675 Vol.
Yes
25°C
$11,915 Vol.
No
26°C
$7,989 Vol.
No
27°C
$5,020 Vol.
No
28°C or higher
$2,863 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Ministro Pistarini International Airport (Ezeiza), the market's resolution source, confirm Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 5 reached exactly 24°C, aligning with trader consensus at 100% implied probability and driving the dominant positioning. This matches pre-event forecasts from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projecting a maximum around 24°C under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and a stable high-pressure system suppressing further warming despite May's typical autumn highs of 18–20°C. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF showed consensus for mild conditions without significant heat advection. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from official METAR reports or sensor recalibration, though such post hoc adjustments are infrequent in verified aviation-grade measurements. Final SMN bulletin expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$92,789End Date
May 5, 2026Market Opened
May 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Ministro Pistarini International Airport (Ezeiza), the market's resolution source, confirm Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 5 reached exactly 24°C, aligning with trader consensus at 100% implied probability and driving the dominant positioning. This matches pre-event forecasts from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projecting a maximum around 24°C under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and a stable high-pressure system suppressing further warming despite May's typical autumn highs of 18–20°C. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF showed consensus for mild conditions without significant heat advection. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from official METAR reports or sensor recalibration, though such post hoc adjustments are infrequent in verified aviation-grade measurements. Final SMN bulletin expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$92,789End Date
May 5, 2026Market Opened
May 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from Ministro Pistarini International Airport (Ezeiza), the market's resolution source, confirm Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 5 reached exactly 24°C, aligning with trader consensus at 100% implied probability and driving the dominant positioning. This matches pre-event forecasts from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projecting a maximum around 24°C under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and a stable high-pressure system suppressing further warming despite May's typical autumn highs of 18–20°C. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF showed consensus for mild conditions without significant heat advection. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from official METAR reports or sensor recalibration, though such post hoc adjustments are infrequent in verified aviation-grade measurements. Final SMN bulletin expected within 24 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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