Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C in Busan on April 18, 2026, driven by confirmed Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Gimhae International Airport—the market's official station—which recorded an afternoon peak of 23°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity around 35-75%. This aligns with KMA short-range forecast models projecting 22-23°C maxima, following a week of above-normal highs (21°C+) under a persistent high-pressure ridge elevating coastal temperatures beyond the mid-April climatological average of 18°C. Realistic challenges, such as a post-close data revision from instrument recalibration, are negligible given finalized hourly logs; traders await only routine KMA validation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on April 18?
Highest temperature in Busan on April 18?
23°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$51,116 Vol.
$51,116 Vol.
Apr 18, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$51,116 Vol.
$51,116 Vol.
Apr 18, 2026
15°C or below
$1,614 Vol.
No
16°C
$1,193 Vol.
No
17°C
$982 Vol.
No
18°C
$1,898 Vol.
No
19°C
$3,613 Vol.
No
20°C
$2,953 Vol.
No
21°C
$2,291 Vol.
No
22°C
$8,904 Vol.
No
23°C
$11,920 Vol.
Yes
24°C
$10,692 Vol.
No
25°C or higher
$5,058 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C in Busan on April 18, 2026, driven by confirmed Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Gimhae International Airport—the market's official station—which recorded an afternoon peak of 23°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity around 35-75%. This aligns with KMA short-range forecast models projecting 22-23°C maxima, following a week of above-normal highs (21°C+) under a persistent high-pressure ridge elevating coastal temperatures beyond the mid-April climatological average of 18°C. Realistic challenges, such as a post-close data revision from instrument recalibration, are negligible given finalized hourly logs; traders await only routine KMA validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$51,116End Date
Apr 18, 2026Market Opened
Apr 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C in Busan on April 18, 2026, driven by confirmed Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Gimhae International Airport—the market's official station—which recorded an afternoon peak of 23°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity around 35-75%. This aligns with KMA short-range forecast models projecting 22-23°C maxima, following a week of above-normal highs (21°C+) under a persistent high-pressure ridge elevating coastal temperatures beyond the mid-April climatological average of 18°C. Realistic challenges, such as a post-close data revision from instrument recalibration, are negligible given finalized hourly logs; traders await only routine KMA validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$51,116End Date
Apr 18, 2026Market Opened
Apr 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C in Busan on April 18, 2026, driven by confirmed Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Gimhae International Airport—the market's official station—which recorded an afternoon peak of 23°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity around 35-75%. This aligns with KMA short-range forecast models projecting 22-23°C maxima, following a week of above-normal highs (21°C+) under a persistent high-pressure ridge elevating coastal temperatures beyond the mid-April climatological average of 18°C. Realistic challenges, such as a post-close data revision from instrument recalibration, are negligible given finalized hourly logs; traders await only routine KMA validation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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