Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Gimhae International Airport confirm Busan's temperature peaked at 24°C around 2:00 PM on April 25 under CAVOK clear skies with light ESE winds at 9 mph and low humidity near 19%, aligning precisely with short-term forecast models projecting this maximum and solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability. This positioning reflects model agreement on limited diurnal heating from a stable high-pressure system, well above the seasonal April average of 18°C amid a recent warm spell. Realistic challenges include unexpected prolonged solar insolation or station microclimate effects nudging readings to 25°C before evening cooldown, though late-day dynamics and dry air reduce such risks; final KMA daily data will resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on April 25?
Highest temperature in Busan on April 25?
24°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$45,891 Vol.
$45,891 Vol.
Apr 25, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$45,891 Vol.
$45,891 Vol.
Apr 25, 2026
16°C or below
$638 Vol.
No
17°C
$2,328 Vol.
No
18°C
$4,088 Vol.
No
19°C
$2,470 Vol.
No
20°C
$1,613 Vol.
No
21°C
$3,930 Vol.
No
22°C
$2,310 Vol.
No
23°C
$2,418 Vol.
No
24°C
$10,947 Vol.
Yes
25°C
$6,865 Vol.
No
26°C or higher
$8,285 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Gimhae International Airport confirm Busan's temperature peaked at 24°C around 2:00 PM on April 25 under CAVOK clear skies with light ESE winds at 9 mph and low humidity near 19%, aligning precisely with short-term forecast models projecting this maximum and solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability. This positioning reflects model agreement on limited diurnal heating from a stable high-pressure system, well above the seasonal April average of 18°C amid a recent warm spell. Realistic challenges include unexpected prolonged solar insolation or station microclimate effects nudging readings to 25°C before evening cooldown, though late-day dynamics and dry air reduce such risks; final KMA daily data will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 23, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Volume
$45,891End Date
Apr 25, 2026Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Gimhae International Airport confirm Busan's temperature peaked at 24°C around 2:00 PM on April 25 under CAVOK clear skies with light ESE winds at 9 mph and low humidity near 19%, aligning precisely with short-term forecast models projecting this maximum and solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability. This positioning reflects model agreement on limited diurnal heating from a stable high-pressure system, well above the seasonal April average of 18°C amid a recent warm spell. Realistic challenges include unexpected prolonged solar insolation or station microclimate effects nudging readings to 25°C before evening cooldown, though late-day dynamics and dry air reduce such risks; final KMA daily data will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$45,891End Date
Apr 25, 2026Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Gimhae International Airport confirm Busan's temperature peaked at 24°C around 2:00 PM on April 25 under CAVOK clear skies with light ESE winds at 9 mph and low humidity near 19%, aligning precisely with short-term forecast models projecting this maximum and solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability. This positioning reflects model agreement on limited diurnal heating from a stable high-pressure system, well above the seasonal April average of 18°C amid a recent warm spell. Realistic challenges include unexpected prolonged solar insolation or station microclimate effects nudging readings to 25°C before evening cooldown, though late-day dynamics and dry air reduce such risks; final KMA daily data will resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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