Current meteorological observations and short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate that Busan’s daytime high on May 20 will reach exactly 19 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light-to-moderate precipitation, and steady onshore flow that suppresses solar heating. These synoptic conditions align with historical May patterns when marine air advection keeps coastal maxima near the seasonal average rather than allowing typical late-spring warming. Trader consensus has converged on the 19 °C outcome because official station data provide a reliable, verifiable benchmark for market resolution, with only narrow uncertainty from minor timing shifts in the rain shield. Clearer skies or a temporary wind shift could still permit brief additional heating before sunset, though current model guidance shows low probability of such change before the daily maximum is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on May 20?
19°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$48,041 Vol.
$48,041 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$48,041 Vol.
$48,041 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 18, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current meteorological observations and short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate that Busan’s daytime high on May 20 will reach exactly 19 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light-to-moderate precipitation, and steady onshore flow that suppresses solar heating. These synoptic conditions align with historical May patterns when marine air advection keeps coastal maxima near the seasonal average rather than allowing typical late-spring warming. Trader consensus has converged on the 19 °C outcome because official station data provide a reliable, verifiable benchmark for market resolution, with only narrow uncertainty from minor timing shifts in the rain shield. Clearer skies or a temporary wind shift could still permit brief additional heating before sunset, though current model guidance shows low probability of such change before the daily maximum is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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