Traders assign the highest implied probability to a 26°C maximum in Chongqing on July 2, with 25°C and 27°C as close followers, reflecting expectations that typical July heat will be moderated by regional factors. Early July climatology features average highs near 32–33°C, driven by the East Asian monsoon, high humidity, and the urban heat island effect that can add 2–5°C in the city core compared with surrounding terrain. Short-range model runs likely highlight increased cloud cover, afternoon thunderstorms, or a transient steering pattern that limits insolation and promotes evaporative cooling, keeping daytime peaks several degrees below seasonal norms. Resolution hinges on official station data, where even modest shifts in precipitation timing or wind could differentiate among the tightly clustered 25–27°C outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on July 2?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on July 2?
28°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$162,006 Vol.
$162,006 Vol.
Jul 2, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$162,006 Vol.
$162,006 Vol.
Jul 2, 2026
20°C or below
$10,714 Vol.
No
21°C
$2,457 Vol.
No
22°C
$3,460 Vol.
No
23°C
$5,989 Vol.
No
24°C
$20,446 Vol.
No
25°C
$22,769 Vol.
No
26°C
$38,482 Vol.
No
27°C
$21,589 Vol.
No
28°C
$15,521 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$8,676 Vol.
No
30°C or higher
$11,901 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probability to a 26°C maximum in Chongqing on July 2, with 25°C and 27°C as close followers, reflecting expectations that typical July heat will be moderated by regional factors. Early July climatology features average highs near 32–33°C, driven by the East Asian monsoon, high humidity, and the urban heat island effect that can add 2–5°C in the city core compared with surrounding terrain. Short-range model runs likely highlight increased cloud cover, afternoon thunderstorms, or a transient steering pattern that limits insolation and promotes evaporative cooling, keeping daytime peaks several degrees below seasonal norms. Resolution hinges on official station data, where even modest shifts in precipitation timing or wind could differentiate among the tightly clustered 25–27°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$162,006End Date
Jul 2, 2026Market Opened
Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probability to a 26°C maximum in Chongqing on July 2, with 25°C and 27°C as close followers, reflecting expectations that typical July heat will be moderated by regional factors. Early July climatology features average highs near 32–33°C, driven by the East Asian monsoon, high humidity, and the urban heat island effect that can add 2–5°C in the city core compared with surrounding terrain. Short-range model runs likely highlight increased cloud cover, afternoon thunderstorms, or a transient steering pattern that limits insolation and promotes evaporative cooling, keeping daytime peaks several degrees below seasonal norms. Resolution hinges on official station data, where even modest shifts in precipitation timing or wind could differentiate among the tightly clustered 25–27°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$162,006End Date
Jul 2, 2026Market Opened
Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Traders assign the highest implied probability to a 26°C maximum in Chongqing on July 2, with 25°C and 27°C as close followers, reflecting expectations that typical July heat will be moderated by regional factors. Early July climatology features average highs near 32–33°C, driven by the East Asian monsoon, high humidity, and the urban heat island effect that can add 2–5°C in the city core compared with surrounding terrain. Short-range model runs likely highlight increased cloud cover, afternoon thunderstorms, or a transient steering pattern that limits insolation and promotes evaporative cooling, keeping daytime peaks several degrees below seasonal norms. Resolution hinges on official station data, where even modest shifts in precipitation timing or wind could differentiate among the tightly clustered 25–27°C outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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