Official observations from the South African Weather Service (SAWS) at Cape Town International Airport—the market's resolution station—confirm the highest temperature on May 3 reached 19°C, driving the 100% implied probability as traders locked in the verified data released within the last 24 hours. Cloudy skies with light rain from evening hours, ahead of a cold front, limited solar insolation and kept daytime highs below the typical May average of around 20–22°C, aligning with forecast model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs predicting mild conditions near 21°C maximum. This strong scientific evidence from automated weather station records leaves minimal room for revision, though an improbable data correction or station malfunction could theoretically challenge the outcome before final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Cape Town on May 3?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 3?
19°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
20°C <1%
$44,517 Vol.
$44,517 Vol.
May 3, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
20°C <1%
$44,517 Vol.
$44,517 Vol.
May 3, 2026
17°C or below
$5,760 Vol.
No
18°C
$5,197 Vol.
No
19°C
$7,840 Vol.
Yes
20°C
$5,424 Vol.
No
21°C
$3,649 Vol.
No
22°C
$4,697 Vol.
No
23°C
$4,110 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,827 Vol.
No
25°C
$1,848 Vol.
No
26°C
$2,228 Vol.
No
27°C or higher
$1,938 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the South African Weather Service (SAWS) at Cape Town International Airport—the market's resolution station—confirm the highest temperature on May 3 reached 19°C, driving the 100% implied probability as traders locked in the verified data released within the last 24 hours. Cloudy skies with light rain from evening hours, ahead of a cold front, limited solar insolation and kept daytime highs below the typical May average of around 20–22°C, aligning with forecast model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs predicting mild conditions near 21°C maximum. This strong scientific evidence from automated weather station records leaves minimal room for revision, though an improbable data correction or station malfunction could theoretically challenge the outcome before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 1, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Volume
$44,517End Date
May 3, 2026Market Opened
May 1, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the South African Weather Service (SAWS) at Cape Town International Airport—the market's resolution station—confirm the highest temperature on May 3 reached 19°C, driving the 100% implied probability as traders locked in the verified data released within the last 24 hours. Cloudy skies with light rain from evening hours, ahead of a cold front, limited solar insolation and kept daytime highs below the typical May average of around 20–22°C, aligning with forecast model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs predicting mild conditions near 21°C maximum. This strong scientific evidence from automated weather station records leaves minimal room for revision, though an improbable data correction or station malfunction could theoretically challenge the outcome before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$44,517End Date
May 3, 2026Market Opened
May 1, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from the South African Weather Service (SAWS) at Cape Town International Airport—the market's resolution station—confirm the highest temperature on May 3 reached 19°C, driving the 100% implied probability as traders locked in the verified data released within the last 24 hours. Cloudy skies with light rain from evening hours, ahead of a cold front, limited solar insolation and kept daytime highs below the typical May average of around 20–22°C, aligning with forecast model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs predicting mild conditions near 21°C maximum. This strong scientific evidence from automated weather station records leaves minimal room for revision, though an improbable data correction or station malfunction could theoretically challenge the outcome before final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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