Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration, recorded at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport—the standard resolution source for these markets—confirm the highest temperature on April 29, 2026, peaked at exactly 23°C amid persistent cloudy conditions and light winds that suppressed daytime heating. This aligns with recent forecast model consensus from CMA and international agencies like ECMWF, which projected highs in the low-to-mid 20s°C following a cooler air mass over Sichuan province. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified meteorological data, representing skin-in-the-game agreement on the outcome. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from official reanalysis, such as sensor recalibration uncovering a higher reading, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect less than 1% of daily records. Final CMA bulletin expected within 24 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 29?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 29?
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$176,257 Vol.
$176,257 Vol.
Apr 29, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$176,257 Vol.
$176,257 Vol.
Apr 29, 2026
18°C or below
$3,897 Vol.
No
19°C
$1,839 Vol.
No
20°C
$3,177 Vol.
No
21°C
$5,748 Vol.
No
22°C
$7,250 Vol.
No
23°C
$65,455 Vol.
Yes
24°C
$32,257 Vol.
No
25°C
$17,162 Vol.
No
26°C
$11,337 Vol.
No
27°C
$12,537 Vol.
No
28°C or higher
$15,597 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration, recorded at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport—the standard resolution source for these markets—confirm the highest temperature on April 29, 2026, peaked at exactly 23°C amid persistent cloudy conditions and light winds that suppressed daytime heating. This aligns with recent forecast model consensus from CMA and international agencies like ECMWF, which projected highs in the low-to-mid 20s°C following a cooler air mass over Sichuan province. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified meteorological data, representing skin-in-the-game agreement on the outcome. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from official reanalysis, such as sensor recalibration uncovering a higher reading, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect less than 1% of daily records. Final CMA bulletin expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 27, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Volume
$176,257End Date
Apr 29, 2026Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration, recorded at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport—the standard resolution source for these markets—confirm the highest temperature on April 29, 2026, peaked at exactly 23°C amid persistent cloudy conditions and light winds that suppressed daytime heating. This aligns with recent forecast model consensus from CMA and international agencies like ECMWF, which projected highs in the low-to-mid 20s°C following a cooler air mass over Sichuan province. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified meteorological data, representing skin-in-the-game agreement on the outcome. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from official reanalysis, such as sensor recalibration uncovering a higher reading, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect less than 1% of daily records. Final CMA bulletin expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$176,257End Date
Apr 29, 2026Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration, recorded at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport—the standard resolution source for these markets—confirm the highest temperature on April 29, 2026, peaked at exactly 23°C amid persistent cloudy conditions and light winds that suppressed daytime heating. This aligns with recent forecast model consensus from CMA and international agencies like ECMWF, which projected highs in the low-to-mid 20s°C following a cooler air mass over Sichuan province. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified meteorological data, representing skin-in-the-game agreement on the outcome. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from official reanalysis, such as sensor recalibration uncovering a higher reading, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect less than 1% of daily records. Final CMA bulletin expected within 24 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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