Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature of 25°C in Chengdu on June 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, light showers, and limited solar heating across the Sichuan Basin. Official guidance shows daytime highs stabilizing near this level amid northeasterly flow and high humidity that suppresses further warming, aligning with mid-June climatology where basin topography often moderates peaks under similar synoptic patterns. This strong model consensus supports the market's 100% implied probability for the 25°C threshold. A rapid clearing of skies before peak heating hours could allow modest additional warming, though afternoon timing and moisture advection make significant upward revisions unlikely before final observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 17?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 17?
25°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$67,572 Vol.
$67,572 Vol.
Jun 17, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$67,572 Vol.
$67,572 Vol.
Jun 17, 2026
24°C or below
$14,747 Vol.
No
25°C
$7,897 Vol.
Yes
26°C
$5,880 Vol.
No
27°C
$6,440 Vol.
No
28°C
$7,617 Vol.
No
29°C
$8,230 Vol.
No
30°C
$8,225 Vol.
No
31°C
$5,059 Vol.
No
32°C
$1,699 Vol.
No
33°C
$975 Vol.
No
34°C or higher
$804 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature of 25°C in Chengdu on June 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, light showers, and limited solar heating across the Sichuan Basin. Official guidance shows daytime highs stabilizing near this level amid northeasterly flow and high humidity that suppresses further warming, aligning with mid-June climatology where basin topography often moderates peaks under similar synoptic patterns. This strong model consensus supports the market's 100% implied probability for the 25°C threshold. A rapid clearing of skies before peak heating hours could allow modest additional warming, though afternoon timing and moisture advection make significant upward revisions unlikely before final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 15, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Volume
$67,572End Date
Jun 17, 2026Market Opened
Jun 15, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature of 25°C in Chengdu on June 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, light showers, and limited solar heating across the Sichuan Basin. Official guidance shows daytime highs stabilizing near this level amid northeasterly flow and high humidity that suppresses further warming, aligning with mid-June climatology where basin topography often moderates peaks under similar synoptic patterns. This strong model consensus supports the market's 100% implied probability for the 25°C threshold. A rapid clearing of skies before peak heating hours could allow modest additional warming, though afternoon timing and moisture advection make significant upward revisions unlikely before final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$67,572End Date
Jun 17, 2026Market Opened
Jun 15, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature of 25°C in Chengdu on June 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, light showers, and limited solar heating across the Sichuan Basin. Official guidance shows daytime highs stabilizing near this level amid northeasterly flow and high humidity that suppresses further warming, aligning with mid-June climatology where basin topography often moderates peaks under similar synoptic patterns. This strong model consensus supports the market's 100% implied probability for the 25°C threshold. A rapid clearing of skies before peak heating hours could allow modest additional warming, though afternoon timing and moisture advection make significant upward revisions unlikely before final observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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