Traders have converged on a 34°C high for Chengdu on June 5 with near-certainty because official observations from the China Meteorological Administration confirm the daily maximum reached precisely that threshold under stable atmospheric conditions. Early June climatology for the Sichuan basin typically features highs of 28–30°C amid increasing humidity and monsoon influences, making this value consistent with model consensus and recent surface measurements. Minor probabilities on adjacent outcomes reflect residual uncertainty in final station reporting or micro-scale variations, but current data show no realistic path to deviation. Upcoming verification from the national weather service will finalize resolution without further model updates expected.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 5?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 5?
34°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$67,530 Vol.
$67,530 Vol.
Jun 5, 2026
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$67,530 Vol.
$67,530 Vol.
Jun 5, 2026
31°C or below
$13,730 Vol.
No
32°C
$6,840 Vol.
No
33°C
$7,473 Vol.
No
34°C
$7,537 Vol.
Yes
35°C
$6,762 Vol.
No
36°C
$7,314 Vol.
No
37°C
$4,067 Vol.
No
38°C
$7,429 Vol.
No
39°C
$3,464 Vol.
No
40°C
$2,601 Vol.
No
41°C or higher
$312 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on a 34°C high for Chengdu on June 5 with near-certainty because official observations from the China Meteorological Administration confirm the daily maximum reached precisely that threshold under stable atmospheric conditions. Early June climatology for the Sichuan basin typically features highs of 28–30°C amid increasing humidity and monsoon influences, making this value consistent with model consensus and recent surface measurements. Minor probabilities on adjacent outcomes reflect residual uncertainty in final station reporting or micro-scale variations, but current data show no realistic path to deviation. Upcoming verification from the national weather service will finalize resolution without further model updates expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 3, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Volume
$67,530End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 12:21 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on a 34°C high for Chengdu on June 5 with near-certainty because official observations from the China Meteorological Administration confirm the daily maximum reached precisely that threshold under stable atmospheric conditions. Early June climatology for the Sichuan basin typically features highs of 28–30°C amid increasing humidity and monsoon influences, making this value consistent with model consensus and recent surface measurements. Minor probabilities on adjacent outcomes reflect residual uncertainty in final station reporting or micro-scale variations, but current data show no realistic path to deviation. Upcoming verification from the national weather service will finalize resolution without further model updates expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$67,530End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 12:21 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Traders have converged on a 34°C high for Chengdu on June 5 with near-certainty because official observations from the China Meteorological Administration confirm the daily maximum reached precisely that threshold under stable atmospheric conditions. Early June climatology for the Sichuan basin typically features highs of 28–30°C amid increasing humidity and monsoon influences, making this value consistent with model consensus and recent surface measurements. Minor probabilities on adjacent outcomes reflect residual uncertainty in final station reporting or micro-scale variations, but current data show no realistic path to deviation. Upcoming verification from the national weather service will finalize resolution without further model updates expected.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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