Official forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a peak temperature of 36°C in Chengdu on June 6, supported by model consensus on subtropical high pressure and reduced cloud cover allowing strong daytime heating amid typical June humidity levels. This aligns with observed trends of occasional heat spikes above the monthly average high near 29–30°C, with recent satellite and surface data confirming rapid warming patterns. Trader consensus at 100% on 36°C reflects this evidence from verified observations and short-range models. An unexpected increase in precipitation or stronger winds could still cap the maximum below this threshold if conditions shift before evening measurements conclude.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 6?
36°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$97,453 Vol.
$97,453 Vol.
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$97,453 Vol.
$97,453 Vol.
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 5, 2026, 12:25 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a peak temperature of 36°C in Chengdu on June 6, supported by model consensus on subtropical high pressure and reduced cloud cover allowing strong daytime heating amid typical June humidity levels. This aligns with observed trends of occasional heat spikes above the monthly average high near 29–30°C, with recent satellite and surface data confirming rapid warming patterns. Trader consensus at 100% on 36°C reflects this evidence from verified observations and short-range models. An unexpected increase in precipitation or stronger winds could still cap the maximum below this threshold if conditions shift before evening measurements conclude.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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