Heavy rainfall and extensive cloud cover have suppressed daytime heating across Chongqing on June 18, 2026, keeping maximum temperatures well below the typical late-June average of 29–31°C. Official forecasts highlight persistent precipitation and high humidity, which enhance evaporative cooling and reduce incoming solar radiation, positioning the highest temperature near or below 24°C. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, with over 80% probability assigned to 24°C or lower, driven by the latest model runs showing limited afternoon clearing. Historical analogs indicate that prolonged June monsoon influences can produce similar cool anomalies, though any unexpected break in cloud cover could allow modest warming toward the upper end of the distribution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on June 18?
23°C or below 100.0%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$75,583 Vol.
$75,583 Vol.
23°C or below
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
23°C or below 100.0%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$75,583 Vol.
$75,583 Vol.
23°C or below
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Heavy rainfall and extensive cloud cover have suppressed daytime heating across Chongqing on June 18, 2026, keeping maximum temperatures well below the typical late-June average of 29–31°C. Official forecasts highlight persistent precipitation and high humidity, which enhance evaporative cooling and reduce incoming solar radiation, positioning the highest temperature near or below 24°C. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, with over 80% probability assigned to 24°C or lower, driven by the latest model runs showing limited afternoon clearing. Historical analogs indicate that prolonged June monsoon influences can produce similar cool anomalies, though any unexpected break in cloud cover could allow modest warming toward the upper end of the distribution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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