National Weather Service observations at Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport (KDFW) show temperatures already climbing to 80°F mid-afternoon on May 3 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, locking in a daily high well above 74°F and fueling 100% market-implied odds for that outcome. NOAA forecast models, including the latest GFS and ECMWF runs, project a peak near 82°F with continued sunshine through sunset, consistent with above-normal spring warmth following record-hot March 2026 averages exceeding 67°F. Trader consensus reflects this observational certainty from official stations, where daily maxima are typically finalized late afternoon. Scenarios challenging this are virtually nonexistent barring rare data revisions, as the threshold is already surpassed.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on May 3?
Highest temperature in Dallas on May 3?
74°F or higher 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$43,873 Vol.
$43,873 Vol.
May 3, 2026
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
Yes
74°F or higher 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$43,873 Vol.
$43,873 Vol.
May 3, 2026
55°F or below
$1,120 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$1,732 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$1,822 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$1,892 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$1,782 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$1,214 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$2,692 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$6,334 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$5,462 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$6,293 Vol.
No
74°F or higher
$13,531 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport (KDFW) show temperatures already climbing to 80°F mid-afternoon on May 3 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, locking in a daily high well above 74°F and fueling 100% market-implied odds for that outcome. NOAA forecast models, including the latest GFS and ECMWF runs, project a peak near 82°F with continued sunshine through sunset, consistent with above-normal spring warmth following record-hot March 2026 averages exceeding 67°F. Trader consensus reflects this observational certainty from official stations, where daily maxima are typically finalized late afternoon. Scenarios challenging this are virtually nonexistent barring rare data revisions, as the threshold is already surpassed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 1, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$43,873End Date
May 3, 2026Market Opened
May 1, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport (KDFW) show temperatures already climbing to 80°F mid-afternoon on May 3 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, locking in a daily high well above 74°F and fueling 100% market-implied odds for that outcome. NOAA forecast models, including the latest GFS and ECMWF runs, project a peak near 82°F with continued sunshine through sunset, consistent with above-normal spring warmth following record-hot March 2026 averages exceeding 67°F. Trader consensus reflects this observational certainty from official stations, where daily maxima are typically finalized late afternoon. Scenarios challenging this are virtually nonexistent barring rare data revisions, as the threshold is already surpassed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$43,873End Date
May 3, 2026Market Opened
May 1, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
National Weather Service observations at Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport (KDFW) show temperatures already climbing to 80°F mid-afternoon on May 3 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, locking in a daily high well above 74°F and fueling 100% market-implied odds for that outcome. NOAA forecast models, including the latest GFS and ECMWF runs, project a peak near 82°F with continued sunshine through sunset, consistent with above-normal spring warmth following record-hot March 2026 averages exceeding 67°F. Trader consensus reflects this observational certainty from official stations, where daily maxima are typically finalized late afternoon. Scenarios challenging this are virtually nonexistent barring rare data revisions, as the threshold is already surpassed.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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